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Sarbogard vs Budafoki MTE

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Sarbogard Logo

Sarbogard

0 - 1
FT
Budafoki MTE Logo

Budafoki MTE

Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Nemeth M.
90'
Nandori B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Budafoki MTE in this NB III - Southwest matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Budafoki MTE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Sarbogard
20%
Draws
61%
Budafoki MTE
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Budafoki MTE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Budafoki MTE have won more games recently than Sarbogard.
  • Win probability leans Budafoki MTE's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sarbogard Clean Sheet 10%
Budafoki MTE Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarbogard Budafoki MTE
Matches Played 18 28
Wins 4 13
Draws 1 6
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.39 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Sarbogard vs Budafoki MTE
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarbogard Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Budafoki MTE Compare

Top Goalscorer Nemeth M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarbogard 10 / 100
Budafoki MTE 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarbogard Budafoki MTE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Budafoki MTE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sarbogard scored in 61% of their last 18 outings.

Budafoki MTE has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Sarbogard went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarbogard VS Budafoki MTE
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarbogard

(Home)
19 Sept
Erdi
4 : 3
Sarbogard
05 Sept
Sarbogard
2 : 1
Szekszardi
29 Aug
Ferencvaros II
1 : 0
Sarbogard
26 Aug
Sarbogard
1 : 1
Siofok
21 Aug
Pecsi MFC
3 : 0
Sarbogard
Page 1 of 4

Budafoki MTE

(Away)
19 Sept
Paks II
1 : 2
Budafoki MTE
29 Aug
Budaorsi SC
1 : 3
Budafoki MTE
26 Aug
Budafoki MTE
4 : 0
Szekszardi
15 Aug
Siofok
0 : 0
Budafoki MTE
12 Aug
Budafoki MTE
2 : 0
PTE-PEAC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 8 8 0 0 27:2 24
2 Budafoki MTE 7 5 1 1 14:6 16
3 Kaposvar 7 5 0 2 20:9 15
4 PTE-PEAC 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
5 Majosi 8 4 1 3 17:17 13
6 MTK Budapest II 7 4 0 3 21:12 12
7 Ferencvaros II 7 3 2 2 15:11 11
8 Siofok 7 3 2 2 12:8 11
9 Budaorsi SC 8 3 1 4 15:25 10
10 Ivancsa 7 3 0 4 13:18 9
11 Erdi 7 2 3 2 17:16 9
12 Dunaharaszti MTK 8 2 2 4 11:16 8
13 Sarbogard 8 1 1 6 7:19 4
14 Paks II 8 0 3 5 10:19 3
15 Szekszardi 8 0 0 8 3:30 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)