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Sarbogard vs Budaorsi SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Nemeth L.
13' Event
Ambach A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NB III - Southwest matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sarbogard
20%
Draws
40%
Budaorsi SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Budaorsi SC have won more games recently than Sarbogard.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Sarbogard taking it.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Sarbogard Clean Sheet 10%
Budaorsi SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarbogard Budaorsi SC
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 4 14
Draws 2 4
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.15 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Sarbogard vs Budaorsi SC
1:1
Aug 4, 2024 Hungarian Cup
Sarbogard vs Budaorsi SC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarbogard Compare

Top Goalscorer Nemeth L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Budaorsi SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ambach A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarbogard 38 / 100
Budaorsi SC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarbogard Budaorsi SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarbogard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Budaorsi SC conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Sarbogard found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (20 games).

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Budaorsi SC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarbogard VS Budaorsi SC
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarbogard

(Home)
03 Oct
Ivancsa
4 : 1
Sarbogard
26 Sept
Sarbogard
1 : 1
Budaorsi SC
19 Sept
Erdi
4 : 3
Sarbogard
05 Sept
Sarbogard
2 : 1
Szekszardi
29 Aug
Ferencvaros II
1 : 0
Sarbogard
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Budaorsi SC

(Away)
26 Sept
Sarbogard
1 : 1
Budaorsi SC
19 Sept
Budaorsi SC
5 : 1
Szekszardi
05 Sept
Siofok
4 : 1
Budaorsi SC
29 Aug
Budaorsi SC
1 : 3
Budafoki MTE
26 Aug
PTE-PEAC
6 : 1
Budaorsi SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 10 9 1 0 30:4 28
2 Kaposvar 9 5 1 3 23:14 16
3 Budafoki MTE 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
4 PTE-PEAC 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
5 Ivancsa 9 5 0 4 21:20 15
6 Ferencvaros II 9 4 3 2 19:13 15
7 Siofok 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
8 Majosi 9 4 2 3 18:18 14
9 Dunaharaszti MTK 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
10 MTK Budapest II 8 4 0 4 21:14 12
11 Erdi 9 3 3 3 21:21 12
12 Budaorsi SC 9 3 2 4 16:26 11
13 Paks II 10 1 3 6 19:23 6
14 Sarbogard 10 1 2 7 9:24 5
15 Szekszardi 9 0 0 9 4:38 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)