Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sarbogard vs Vac

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vac in this Hungarian Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sarbogard
20%
Draws
40%
Vac
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Vac have won more games recently than Sarbogard.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Sarbogard taking it.
  • Vac arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vac, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sarbogard Clean Sheet 15%
Vac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarbogard Vac
Matches Played 20 31
Wins 4 10
Draws 2 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.15 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2019 Hungarian Cup
Sarbogard vs Vac
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarbogard 39 / 100
Vac 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarbogard Vac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarbogard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Sarbogard found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (20 games).

Vac let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Away concern: Vac has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sarbogard VS Vac
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.67
75% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarbogard

(Home)
03 Oct
Ivancsa
4 : 1
Sarbogard
26 Sept
Sarbogard
1 : 1
Budaorsi SC
19 Sept
Erdi
4 : 3
Sarbogard
05 Sept
Sarbogard
2 : 1
Szekszardi
29 Aug
Ferencvaros II
1 : 0
Sarbogard
Page 1 of 4

Vac

(Away)
29 May
Gerjeni
0 : 2
Vac
22 May
Vac
0 : 0
ESMTK Budapest
15 May
Ferencvaros II
5 : 1
Vac
08 May
Vac
2 : 3
Honved II
04 May
FC Dabas
2 : 0
Vac
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Nagybajom 2
Nagyecsed 1
Balassagyarmat SE 2
Dorogi FC 3
Tatabanya 2
Csornai 0
Sarvari FC 0
Debrecen 3
III. Keruleti TVE 5
Bogacs 0
Taksony 0
Nyiregyhaza 2
Papai Perutz 2
Cegledi 1
Urkut 0
Vasas 1
Debreceni EAC 2
Csakvari 0
Unione 0
MTK Budapest 1
FC Dabas 3
Balatonlelle 1
Erdi 0
DVTK 1
Dunaujvaros 1
Viadukt SE Biatorbagy 0
VSC Veszprem 0
Nagykanizsa FC 1
Berettyoujfalui 3
Szajol 2
Edeleny 0
Siofok 7
Pecsi MFC 6
Egerszalok 1
Sarisapi Banyasz 0
Rakosmenti KSK 5
Kozarmisleny SE 2
Mori SE 0
Pilisi 0
Kisvarda FC 1
Mosonmagyarovari TE 9
Vasvar VSE 1
TBD -
Tallya -
Salgotarjani BTC 3
Szolnoki MAV 2
Putnok VSE 0
Paks 5
Tamasi 4
Tihanyi 1
Komaromi VSE 0
Monori 2
Kazincbarcika 6
Kerulet Svabhegy 0
Dunaharaszti MTK 1
Honved 7
Menfocsanak 2
Petervasara 1
Gyongyosi 0
Haladas 3
Sopron 3
Kecsked KSK 1
Torokszentmiklos 0
Budafoki MTE 5
Fuzesgyarmati 3
Hevesi 1
Korosladany MSK 1
Bekescsaba 1912 5
BKV Elore 2
Gonyu 0
Ivancsa 0
Ferencvaros 3
Balatoni Vasas 4
Kecskemeti LC 2
Kinizsi SK 1
Dabas-Gyon 2
Maglodi TC 6
MVSC 0
Bonyhad 0
Puskas Academy 5
ASR Gazgyar 1
Makoi 0
ESMTK Budapest 1
Gyor 3
Senyo 3
Jaszberenyi 2
Heviz 0
Mezokovesd-Zsory 6
Szegedi 4
Bicskei 0
Berkenye 2
Ozdi 4
Tiszakecske 1
Szabadkikoto 0
Soltvadkerti 0
Kaposvar 4
Kecskemeti TE 6
Andrashida 0
Szekszardi 2
Lipot 3
Gyirmot FC Gyor 1
Szentlorinc SE 0
Nadasd 0
Soroksar 9
Szarvasi 8
Siklos 2
Ajka Kristaly 1
Balkanyi 2
Budaorsi SC 4
Hodmezovasarhely 0
Kiskunfelegyhazi 1
Zalaegerszegi 5
Sarbogard 5
Olajmunkas 1
Kelen 0
Vac 3
Ajka 6
Ujfeherto 2
Hatvan FC 0
Ujpest 2
Vep VSE 3
Hajduszoboszloi 2
Velence SE 1
Szeged-Csanad GA 3
Tiszaujvaros 8
Villanyi 0
Eger 2
Videoton 4
1/32-finals
Nagybajom 0
Dorogi FC 5
Tatabanya 0
Debrecen 2
III. Keruleti TVE 5
Nyiregyhaza 0
Papai Perutz 3
Vasas 4
Debreceni EAC 0
MTK Budapest 3
FC Dabas 0
DVTK 3
Dunaujvaros 2
Nagykanizsa FC 1
Berettyoujfalui 0
Siofok 4
Pecsi MFC 2
Rakosmenti KSK 0
Kozarmisleny SE 1
Kisvarda FC 2
Mosonmagyarovari TE 4
Tallya 1
Salgotarjani BTC 1
Paks 7
Tamasi 0
Monori 2
Kazincbarcika 0
Honved 2
Menfocsanak 0
Haladas 2
Sopron 1
Budafoki MTE 2
Fuzesgyarmati 0
Bekescsaba 1912 1
BKV Elore 1
Ferencvaros 3
Balatoni Vasas 0
Dabas-Gyon 4
Maglodi TC 0
Puskas Academy 15
ASR Gazgyar 1
Gyor 4
Senyo 1
Mezokovesd-Zsory 2
Szegedi 2
Ozdi 4
Tiszakecske 0
Kaposvar 1
Kecskemeti TE 0
Lipot 1
Gyirmot FC Gyor 3
Soroksar 0
Szarvasi 2
Balkanyi 1
Budaorsi SC 3
Zalaegerszegi 7
Sarbogard 1
Vac 3
Ajka 2
Ujpest 5
Vep VSE 1
Szeged-Csanad GA 4
Tiszaujvaros 0
Videoton 3
1/16-finals
Dorogi FC 2
Debrecen 1
III. Keruleti TVE 2
Vasas 1
MTK Budapest 1
DVTK 0
Dunaujvaros 2
Siofok 1
Pecsi MFC 1
Kisvarda FC 0
Mosonmagyarovari TE 0
Paks 4
Monori 1
Honved 3
Haladas 2
Budafoki MTE 1
Bekescsaba 1912 2
Ferencvaros 0
Dabas-Gyon 0
Puskas Academy 3
Gyor 2
Mezokovesd-Zsory 3
Ozdi -
Kaposvar -
Lipot 3
Gyirmot FC Gyor 1
Szarvasi 0
Zalaegerszegi 2
Vac 0
Ujpest 3
Szeged-Csanad GA 0
Videoton 1
1/8-finals
Dorogi FC 6
III. Keruleti TVE 1
MTK Budapest 5
Dunaujvaros 0
Pecsi MFC 1
Paks 3
Honved 2
Haladas 2
Bekescsaba 1912 0
Puskas Academy 6
Mezokovesd-Zsory 5
Kaposvar 2
Lipot 4
Zalaegerszegi 6
Ujpest 0
Videoton 1
Quarter-finals
Dorogi FC 0
MTK Budapest 4
Paks 0
Honved 2
Puskas Academy 1
Mezokovesd-Zsory 2
Zalaegerszegi 2
Videoton 5
Semi-finals
MTK Budapest 0
Honved 1
Mezokovesd-Zsory 3
Videoton 3
Final
Honved 2
Mezokovesd-Zsory 1