Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sarcelles A.A.S. W vs Montpellier W

France France

Coupe de France Women
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Kadzere R.
22' Event
Gstalter L.
67' Event
Zemma A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sarcelles A.A.S. W
25%
Draws
35%
Montpellier W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Sarcelles A.A.S. W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Montpellier W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Montpellier W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Montpellier W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Sarcelles A.A.S. W Clean Sheet 22%
Montpellier W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarcelles A.A.S. W Montpellier W
Matches Played 1 29
Wins 0 8
Draws 0 5
Losses 1 16
Goals Scored 1 1.34
Goals Conceded 2 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Coupe de France Women
Sarcelles A.A.S. W vs Montpellier W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarcelles A.A.S. W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zemma A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Montpellier W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kadzere R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gstalter L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarcelles A.A.S. W 37 / 100
Montpellier W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarcelles A.A.S. W Montpellier W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montpellier W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarcelles A.A.S. W found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (1 games).

Montpellier W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Montpellier W registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Montpellier W
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarcelles A.A.S. W

(Home)
10 Jan
Sarcelles A.A.S. W
1 : 2
Montpellier W

Montpellier W

(Away)
19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0
Marseille W
12 Sept
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Montpellier W
05 Sept
Montpellier W
5 : 1
Toulouse W
29 Aug
Montpellier W
0 : 3
Marseille W
22 Aug
Lille W
0 : 2
Montpellier W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Dijon W 4
Toulouse W 1
Rennes W 0
Fleury 91 W 5
PSG W 2
Lille W 0
Sarcelles A.A.S. W 1
Montpellier W 2
Troyes W 1
Chatenoy W 3
Caen W 3
La Roche W 2
Roubaix W 1
Saint-Malo W 2
Lens W 0
Paris FC W 2
Bergerac W 0
Nantes W 9
Lorient W 1
Le Mans W 7
Albi-Marssac W 1
Grenoble W 2
Esperance Pernoise W 0
Strasbourg W 2
Thonon Evian W 0
Marseille W 1
St Etienne W 0
OL Lyonnes W 6
Molsheim Ernolsheim W 1
Nice W 4
Le Havre W 4
Auxerre W 1
1/8-finals
Dijon W 1
Fleury 91 W 0
PSG W 5
Montpellier W 0
Chatenoy W 1
Caen W 2
Saint-Malo W 0
Paris FC W 1
Nantes W 5
Le Mans W 0
Grenoble W 0
Strasbourg W 1
Marseille W 1
OL Lyonnes W 5
Nice W 1
Le Havre W 2
Quarter-finals
Dijon W 1
PSG W 2
Caen W 0
Paris FC W 2
Nantes W 0
Strasbourg W 1
OL Lyonnes W 7
Le Havre W 0
Semi-finals
PSG W 2
Paris FC W 1
Strasbourg W 0
OL Lyonnes W 6
Final
PSG W 1
OL Lyonnes W 4