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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sardarapat host Ararat Yerevan in the Club Friendly. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Ararat Yerevan have shipped 2.38 goals a game lately, while Sardarapat have conceded 0.63 and scored 2.5. Past meetings favor Ararat Yerevan slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 6, 2026, ending 5:1. Model xG sits at 2.44 vs 0.88, favoring Sardarapat. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Sardarapat

Draws

Ararat Yerevan

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sardarapat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Sardarapat has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ararat Yerevan.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Sardarapat.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Sardarapat Clean Sheet 20%

Ararat Yerevan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sardarapat	Ararat Yerevan
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	18	7
Draws	6	5
Losses	4	17
Goals Scored	2.5	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.63	2.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Club Friendly

Ararat Yerevan vs Sardarapat

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 3 - 4

5:1

Oct 30, 2025 Armenian Cup

Sardarapat vs Ararat Yerevan

Possession: 53% - 54% Cards: 3 - 3

0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sardarapat 85 / 100

Ararat Yerevan 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sardarapat Ararat Yerevan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sardarapat scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Ararat Yerevan let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Sardarapat went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ararat Yerevan lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sardarapat VS Ararat Yerevan

2.5 Goals Scored 1.13

0.63 Goals Conceded 2.38

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 38%