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Sardarapat vs Noah - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

Premier League Armavir stadium, Armavir
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sardarapat host Noah in the Premier League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Sardarapat at 2 goals for, 1.07 against; Noah at 2.16 for, 0.75 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 2.00, favoring Noah. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Sardarapat
30%
Draws
51%
Noah
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Noah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Noah have won more games recently than Sardarapat.
  • Noah are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sardarapat Clean Sheet 10%
Noah Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sardarapat Noah
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 13 20
Draws 9 10
Losses 5 2
Goals Scored 2 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sardarapat 10 / 100
Noah 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sardarapat Noah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Noah Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sardarapat scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Sardarapat went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Noah's defensive record shows goals conceded in 44% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sardarapat VS Noah
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sardarapat

(Home)
19 Sept
BKMA
1 : 1
Sardarapat
13 Sept
Sardarapat
1 : 1
Alashkert
09 Sept
Sardarapat
2 : 4
Pyunik Yerevan
06 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
2 : 0
Sardarapat
31 Aug
Sardarapat
3 : 1
Syunik
Page 1 of 6

Noah

(Away)
02 Oct
Noah
2 : 2
Dinamo Batumi
18 Sept
Noah
2 : 0
Van
12 Sept
Urartu
0 : 3
Noah
04 Sept
Noah
3 : 2
FC Gandzasar
30 Aug
Noah
4 : 0
Ararat Yerevan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noah 8 8 0 0 21:5 24
2 Ararat-Armenia 8 6 1 1 17:8 19
3 Pyunik Yerevan 8 5 3 0 18:8 18
4 Alashkert 8 4 3 1 18:6 15
5 Sardarapat 8 3 3 2 14:12 12
6 Urartu 8 3 2 3 12:10 11
7 Shirak Gyumri 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Ararat Yerevan 8 3 0 5 6:13 9
9 BKMA 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
10 Van 8 1 1 6 4:21 4
11 FC Gandzasar 8 1 0 7 8:20 3
12 Syunik 8 0 2 6 3:17 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027/2028 (Main)