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Sardarapat vs Shirak Gyumri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Fri, Jul 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sardarapat host Shirak Gyumri in the Club Friendly. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Sardarapat at 2.04 goals for, 1.04 against; Shirak Gyumri at 0.89 for, 1.56 against. Past meetings favor Shirak Gyumri slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.50 - 1.50) back Sardarapat to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sardarapat
20%
Draws
44%
Shirak Gyumri
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shirak Gyumri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Sardarapat carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Shirak Gyumri are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sardarapat Clean Sheet 16%
Shirak Gyumri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sardarapat Shirak Gyumri
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 13 6
Draws 9 4
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 2.04 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs Sardarapat
2:0
Jul 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Sardarapat vs Shirak Gyumri
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sardarapat 23 / 100
Shirak Gyumri 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sardarapat Shirak Gyumri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shirak Gyumri Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sardarapat scored in 85% of their last 26 outings.

Shirak Gyumri let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Sardarapat went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Shirak Gyumri's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sardarapat VS Shirak Gyumri
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sardarapat

(Home)
19 Sept
BKMA
1 : 1
Sardarapat
13 Sept
Sardarapat
1 : 1
Alashkert
09 Sept
Sardarapat
2 : 4
Pyunik Yerevan
06 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
2 : 0
Sardarapat
31 Aug
Sardarapat
3 : 1
Syunik
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Shirak Gyumri

(Away)
20 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
1 : 3
Ararat-Armenia
13 Sept
Pyunik Yerevan
2 : 0
Shirak Gyumri
06 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
2 : 0
Sardarapat
29 Aug
Van
0 : 4
Shirak Gyumri
22 Aug
Shirak Gyumri
0 : 1
Urartu
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