Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sardor Tursunzoda vs Istiqlol Dushanbe

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Istiqlol Dushanbe in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Istiqlol Dushanbe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sardor Tursunzoda
6%
Draws
90%
Istiqlol Dushanbe
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Istiqlol Dushanbe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Istiqlol Dushanbe lately — more wins on the board than Sardor Tursunzoda.
  • Model gives Istiqlol Dushanbe a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sardor Tursunzoda Clean Sheet 10%
Istiqlol Dushanbe Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sardor Tursunzoda Istiqlol Dushanbe
Matches Played 14 37
Wins 2 23
Draws 4 8
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Sardor Tursunzoda vs Istiqlol Dushanbe
0:1
Mar 7, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Sardor Tursunzoda
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sardor Tursunzoda 10 / 100
Istiqlol Dushanbe 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sardor Tursunzoda Istiqlol Dushanbe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sardor Tursunzoda scored in 64% of their last 14 outings.

Defensive concern: Istiqlol Dushanbe conceded in 59% of 37 recent games.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Sardor Tursunzoda stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sardor Tursunzoda VS Istiqlol Dushanbe
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Istiqlol Dushanbe1174014:325
2Khosilot Parkhar1273223:1124
3Regar-TadAZ1173115:724
4CSKA Pomir Dushanbe1161414:1219
5Ravshan Kulob1252516:1317
6Barkchi Hisor1251615:1916
7Khujand1244411:1016
8Eskhata1242614:2314
9Vakhsh1235415:1614
10Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov1233610:1712
11Sardor Tursunzoda1213813:216
12Istaravshan110569:175