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Sardor Tursunzoda vs Khujand

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Sardor Tursunzoda and Khujand finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Sardor Tursunzoda
28%
Draws
50%
Khujand
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Khujand

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Khujand carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Khujand taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sardor Tursunzoda Clean Sheet 13%
Khujand Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sardor Tursunzoda Khujand
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 2 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Sardor Tursunzoda vs Khujand
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sardor Tursunzoda 22 / 100
Khujand 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sardor Tursunzoda Khujand

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KHU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Sardor Tursunzoda scored in 64% of their last 14 games.

Defensive concern: Khujand conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sardor Tursunzoda stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sardor Tursunzoda VS Khujand
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Istiqlol Dushanbe1174014:325
2Khosilot Parkhar1273223:1124
3Regar-TadAZ1173115:724
4CSKA Pomir Dushanbe1161414:1219
5Ravshan Kulob1252516:1317
6Barkchi Hisor1251615:1916
7Khujand1244411:1016
8Eskhata1242614:2314
9Vakhsh1235415:1614
10Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov1233610:1712
11Sardor Tursunzoda1213813:216
12Istaravshan110569:175