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Sarinena vs Valdefierro

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 game between Sarinena and Valdefierro finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarinena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sarinena
20%
Draws
44%
Valdefierro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valdefierro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sarinena come out ahead of Valdefierro on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sarinena a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sarinena Clean Sheet 20%
Valdefierro Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarinena Valdefierro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.47 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Sarinena vs Valdefierro
5:0
May 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Valdefierro vs Sarinena
2:1
Apr 9, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Sarinena vs Valdefierro
0:0
Aug 25, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Valdefierro vs Sarinena
2:1
Jan 14, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Valdefierro vs Sarinena
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarinena 76 / 100
Valdefierro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarinena Valdefierro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarinena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valdefierro has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Sarinena's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sarinena stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarinena VS Valdefierro
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarinena

(Home)
02 Aug
Sarinena
2 : 2
UD Barbastro
13 Jun
Tamarite
3 : 0
Sarinena
06 Jun
Sarinena
5 : 0
Valdefierro
30 May
CD Carinena
2 : 1
Sarinena
23 May
Sarinena
0 : 0
Fraga
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Valdefierro

(Away)
13 Jun
Valdefierro
3 : 1
Sabinanigo
06 Jun
Sarinena
5 : 0
Valdefierro
30 May
Valdefierro
3 : 2
Villanueva CF
23 May
Epila
1 : 0
Valdefierro
16 May
Valdefierro
0 : 1
Almudevar
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