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Sariyer vs Bodrumspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Yusuf Ziya Onis, Istanbul
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sariyer host Bodrumspor in the 1. Lig. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Bodrumspor have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Sariyer have conceded 1 and scored 1.32. Past meetings favor Sariyer slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 0.94, favoring Sariyer. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Sariyer
35%
Draws
24%
Bodrumspor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sariyer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sariyer come out ahead of Bodrumspor on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Sariyer Clean Sheet 20%
Bodrumspor Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sariyer Bodrumspor
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.32 1.23
Goals Conceded 1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 1. Lig
Bodrumspor vs Sariyer
0:1
Dec 27, 2025 1. Lig
Sariyer vs Bodrumspor
1:0
Mar 5, 2022 2. Lig Red Group
Bodrumspor vs Sariyer
3:0
Oct 31, 2021 2. Lig Red Group
Sariyer vs Bodrumspor
1:2
Mar 17, 2019 2. Lig White Group
Sariyer vs Bodrumspor
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sariyer 36 / 100
Bodrumspor 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sariyer Bodrumspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bodrumspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sariyer found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Sariyer remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Bodrumspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sariyer VS Bodrumspor
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sariyer

(Home)
19 Sept
Sariyer
2 : 1
Boluspor
11 Sept
Sariyer
1 : 1
Bandirmaspor
05 Sept
Keciorengucu
3 : 0
Sariyer
01 Sept
Sariyer
2 : 0
Pendikspor
28 Aug
Antalyaspor
1 : 2
Sariyer
Page 1 of 6

Bodrumspor

(Away)
20 Sept
Pendikspor
1 : 1
Bodrumspor
12 Sept
Bodrumspor
4 : 0
Batman Petrolspor
07 Sept
Mardin 1969
1 : 0
Bodrumspor
03 Sept
Bodrumspor
0 : 0
Erokspor
30 Aug
Manisa FK
0 : 0
Bodrumspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 8 6 1 1 15:3 19
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 8 5 1 2 12:7 16
4 Batman Petrolspor 8 5 1 2 15:13 16
5 Sariyer 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
6 Keciorengucu 8 3 4 1 17:10 13
7 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
8 Antalyaspor 8 4 0 4 14:13 12
9 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
10 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
11 Bandirmaspor 8 2 4 2 12:5 10
12 Pendikspor 8 2 4 2 10:13 10
13 Manisa FK 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
14 Bodrumspor 8 1 5 2 7:6 8
15 Sivasspor 8 1 5 2 9:11 8
16 Umraniyespor 8 1 3 4 6:9 6
17 Erokspor 8 0 5 3 4:10 5
18 Istanbulspor AS 8 1 2 5 7:19 5
19 Vanspor FK 8 1 3 4 8:17 4
20 Boluspor 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)