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Stadium Background

Sarmiento de La Banda vs Defensores de Vilelas

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Stadio Ciudad de La Banda
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Sub
Gerez F. In: Veliz R.
Out: Gerez F.
27' Event
Acevedo J.
46'
Sub
Robledo S. In: Canario J.
Out: Robledo S.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Sarmiento de La Banda and Defensores de Vilelas finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Defensores de Vilelas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sarmiento de La Banda
33%
Draws
27%
Defensores de Vilelas
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sarmiento de La Banda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Sarmiento de La Banda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sarmiento de La Banda's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Sarmiento de La Banda Clean Sheet 68%
Defensores de Vilelas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarmiento de La Banda Defensores de Vilelas
Matches Played 30 15
Wins 12 6
Draws 7 1
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Torneo Federal
Defensores de Vilelas vs Sarmiento de La Banda
3:0
May 3, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Defensores de Vilelas
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarmiento de La Banda Compare

Top Goalscorer Roldan I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Defensores de Vilelas Compare

Top Goalscorer Acevedo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carballo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarmiento de La Banda 50 / 100
Defensores de Vilelas 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarmiento de La Banda Defensores de Vilelas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensores de Vilelas let in goals in 80% of their last 15 matches.

Sarmiento de La Banda scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sarmiento de La Banda stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarmiento de La Banda VS Defensores de Vilelas
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sportivo Belgrano1677219:728
2Douglas Haig1784520:1428
3Gimnasia Chivilcoy1674515:1025
49 de Julio Rafaela1674526:2325
5Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo1665520:1723
6Sportivo Las Parejas1657411:1222
7Atletico Escobar1763819:2721
8Independiente Chivilcoy1646613:1918
9Gimnasia E.R.1644812:1716
10El Linqueno1634911:2013
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Martin Formosa1483324:1727
2Bartolome Mitre1465312:623
3Sol de America1472515:1023
4Sarmiento de La Banda1463514:1421
5Juventud Antoniana1454513:1019
6Defensores de Vilelas1561821:2519
7Boca Unidos1453617:1918
8Tucuman Central1451812:1516
9Sarmiento Resistencia1526710:2212
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cipolletti1674519:1525
2Argentino MM1456315:1121
3Biblioteca Atenas1463512:1321
4Fundacion Amigos1447317:1419
5Huracan Las Heras1454510:1319
6Costa Brava1546512:1218
7San Martin Mendoza1445510:1417
8Juventud U.U.1537510:1016
9Deportivo Rincon1444612:1516
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alvarado1676319:727
2Kimberley1567214:825
3Olimpo Bahia Blanca1467110:425
4Villa Mitre144738:519
5Germinal144647:1118
6Sol de Mayo1445511:1217
7Guillermo Brown1435611:1714
8Santamarina152769:1513
9Circulo Deportivo141674:149