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Sarmiento Junin 2 vs Tigre 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sarmiento Junin 2 host Tigre 2 in the Reserve League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Sarmiento Junin 2 at 0.93 goals for, 1.17 against; Tigre 2 at 1.03 for, 1.52 against. Past meetings favor Tigre 2 slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 20, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.13, favoring Sarmiento Junin 2. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sarmiento Junin 2
15%
Draws
51%
Tigre 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tigre 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Tigre 2 at 1.03 per game, Sarmiento Junin 2 at 0.93.
  • Sarmiento Junin 2 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sarmiento Junin 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Tigre 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarmiento Junin 2 Tigre 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.93 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Reserve League
Tigre 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2
1:3
Oct 22, 2024 Reserve League
Tigre 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2
1:1
May 22, 2024 Reserve League
Sarmiento Junin 2 vs Tigre 2
0:1
Aug 16, 2023 Reserve League
Tigre 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2
1:0
Apr 10, 2023 Reserve League
Sarmiento Junin 2 vs Tigre 2
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarmiento Junin 2 40 / 100
Tigre 2 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarmiento Junin 2 Tigre 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarmiento Junin 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tigre 2 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Tigre 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Sarmiento Junin 2's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sarmiento Junin 2 VS Tigre 2
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarmiento Junin 2

(Home)
08 Oct
Sarmiento Junin 2
0 : 1
Velez Sarsfield 2
01 Oct
River Plate 2
1 : 0
Sarmiento Junin 2
23 Sept
Sarmiento Junin 2
3 : 1
Atl. Rafaela 2
15 Sept
Sarmiento Junin 2
0 : 1
Racing Club 2
09 Sept
Instituto 2
2 : 2
Sarmiento Junin 2
Page 1 of 6

Tigre 2

(Away)
07 Oct
Aldosivi 2
1 : 0
Tigre 2
29 Sept
Tigre 2
2 : 1
Gimnasia L.P. 2
23 Sept
Defensa y Justicia 2
2 : 1
Tigre 2
16 Sept
Union de Santa Fe 2
5 : 1
Tigre 2
10 Sept
Tigre 2
2 : 0
Atl. Tucuman 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 2 12 5 7 0 20:10 22
2 Velez Sarsfield 2 12 5 5 2 12:4 20
3 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 12 6 2 4 14:12 20
4 Rosario Central 2 12 5 5 2 17:16 20
5 Gimnasia L.P. 2 12 4 5 3 13:8 17
6 Sarmiento Junin 2 12 4 5 3 11:8 17
7 Godoy Cruz 2 12 4 5 3 14:12 17
8 San Lorenzo 2 12 5 2 5 13:11 17
9 Talleres Cordoba 2 12 4 5 3 12:11 17
10 Union de Santa Fe 2 12 3 7 2 17:10 16
11 Instituto 2 12 3 6 3 15:16 15
12 Atl. Tucuman 2 12 4 3 5 9:13 15
13 Tigre 2 12 4 2 6 15:20 14
14 Racing Club 2 12 2 7 3 19:20 13
15 Aldosivi 2 12 2 5 5 10:14 11
16 Argentinos Jrs 2 12 2 5 5 7:12 11
17 Banfield 2 12 2 3 7 10:22 9
18 Barracas Central 2 12 1 5 6 8:19 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 12 8 3 1 25:9 27
2 Lanus 2 12 8 2 2 23:13 26
3 Deportivo Riestra 2 12 7 2 3 22:11 23
4 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 12 6 5 1 13:7 23
5 Boca Juniors 2 12 6 4 2 16:8 22
6 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 12 6 4 2 19:17 22
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 12 6 3 3 19:11 21
8 Atl. Rafaela 2 12 5 4 3 14:14 19
9 Huracan 2 12 5 2 5 14:10 17
10 Quilmes 2 12 4 4 4 10:10 16
11 Newells Old Boys 2 12 3 5 4 14:12 14
12 Defensa y Justicia 2 12 2 6 4 18:19 12
13 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 12 3 3 6 10:19 12
14 San Martin S.J. 2 12 2 4 6 9:21 10
15 Ind. Rivadavia 2 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
16 Colon Santa Fe 2 12 2 2 8 8:17 8
17 Platense 2 12 0 7 5 6:15 7
18 Ferro 2 12 1 3 8 9:24 6
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)