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Sarmiento Junin 2 vs Velez Sarsfield 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Sarmiento Junin 2 Logo

Sarmiento Junin 2

0 - 1
FT
Velez Sarsfield 2 Logo

Velez Sarsfield 2

Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Velez Sarsfield 2 in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Velez Sarsfield 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Sarmiento Junin 2
30%
Draws
51%
Velez Sarsfield 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Velez Sarsfield 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Velez Sarsfield 2 lately — more wins on the board than Sarmiento Junin 2.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Velez Sarsfield 2 taking it.
  • Regular Reserve League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Velez Sarsfield 2 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Sarmiento Junin 2 Clean Sheet 23%
Velez Sarsfield 2 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarmiento Junin 2 Velez Sarsfield 2
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 19
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 0.93 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Reserve League
Sarmiento Junin 2 vs Velez Sarsfield 2
0:1
May 6, 2026 Reserve League
Velez Sarsfield 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2
4:0
Oct 8, 2025 Reserve League
Sarmiento Junin 2 vs Velez Sarsfield 2
0:1
May 6, 2025 Reserve League
Velez Sarsfield 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2
2:0
Jul 16, 2023 Reserve League
Velez Sarsfield 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarmiento Junin 2 29 / 100
Velez Sarsfield 2 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarmiento Junin 2 Velez Sarsfield 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Velez Sarsfield 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sarmiento Junin 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Sarmiento Junin 2's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Velez Sarsfield 2 has conceded goals in 42% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sarmiento Junin 2 VS Velez Sarsfield 2
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarmiento Junin 2

(Home)
08 Oct
Sarmiento Junin 2
0 : 1
Velez Sarsfield 2
01 Oct
River Plate 2
1 : 0
Sarmiento Junin 2
23 Sept
Sarmiento Junin 2
3 : 1
Atl. Rafaela 2
15 Sept
Sarmiento Junin 2
0 : 1
Racing Club 2
09 Sept
Instituto 2
2 : 2
Sarmiento Junin 2
Page 1 of 6

Velez Sarsfield 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Sarmiento Junin 2
0 : 1
Velez Sarsfield 2
01 Oct
Velez Sarsfield 2
1 : 1
Argentinos Jrs 2
22 Sept
Velez Sarsfield 2
4 : 0
Ferro 2
15 Sept
Aldosivi 2
0 : 1
Velez Sarsfield 2
08 Sept
Velez Sarsfield 2
0 : 0
Gimnasia L.P. 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 2 12 5 7 0 20:10 22
2 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 12 6 2 4 14:12 20
3 Rosario Central 2 12 5 5 2 17:16 20
4 Velez Sarsfield 2 11 4 5 2 11:4 17
5 Gimnasia L.P. 2 12 4 5 3 13:8 17
6 Sarmiento Junin 2 11 4 5 2 11:7 17
7 Talleres Cordoba 2 11 4 5 2 12:9 17
8 Union de Santa Fe 2 12 3 7 2 17:10 16
9 Godoy Cruz 2 11 4 4 3 14:12 16
10 Instituto 2 12 3 6 3 15:16 15
11 San Lorenzo 2 11 4 2 5 12:11 14
12 Tigre 2 12 4 2 6 15:20 14
13 Racing Club 2 12 2 7 3 19:20 13
14 Atl. Tucuman 2 11 3 3 5 7:13 12
15 Aldosivi 2 12 2 5 5 10:14 11
16 Argentinos Jrs 2 11 2 5 4 7:11 11
17 Banfield 2 12 2 3 7 10:22 9
18 Barracas Central 2 11 1 4 6 8:19 7
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 12 8 3 1 25:9 27
2 Deportivo Riestra 2 12 7 2 3 22:11 23
3 Lanus 2 11 7 2 2 20:13 23
4 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 12 6 5 1 13:7 23
5 Estudiantes L.P. 2 12 6 3 3 19:11 21
6 Boca Juniors 2 11 5 4 2 15:8 19
7 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 11 5 4 2 16:15 19
8 Atl. Rafaela 2 12 5 4 3 14:14 19
9 Huracan 2 12 5 2 5 14:10 17
10 Quilmes 2 12 4 4 4 10:10 16
11 Newells Old Boys 2 12 3 5 4 14:12 14
12 Defensa y Justicia 2 12 2 6 4 18:19 12
13 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 11 3 3 5 10:16 12
14 San Martin S.J. 2 11 2 4 5 7:18 10
15 Ind. Rivadavia 2 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
16 Colon Santa Fe 2 11 2 2 7 8:16 8
17 Platense 2 12 0 7 5 6:15 7
18 Ferro 2 12 1 3 8 9:24 6
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)