Sport Picks
Sarmiento Resistencia vs Defensores de Vilelas
Argentina
Torneo Federal Estadio Centenario, Resistencia 
Match Events
57'
57'
Sub
Martinez P. In: Maidana C.
Out: Martinez P.
60'
60'
Maidana C.
62'
62'
Sub
Larrasabal L. In: Carballo G.
Out: Larrasabal L.
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Federal game between Sarmiento Resistencia and Defensores de Vilelas finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarmiento Resistencia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sarmiento Resistencia come out ahead of Defensores de Vilelas on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sarmiento Resistencia Clean Sheet 17%
Defensores de Vilelas Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sarmiento Resistencia | Defensores de Vilelas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 16 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 1 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 14, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento Resistencia vs Defensores de Vilelas
2:0
Apr 13, 2026 Torneo Federal
Defensores de Vilelas vs Sarmiento Resistencia
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sarmiento Resistencia Compare
Top Goalscorer Maidana C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ibanez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25
Defensores de Vilelas Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sarmiento Resistencia 31 / 100
Defensores de Vilelas 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sarmiento Resistencia Defensores de Vilelas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DEF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensores de Vilelas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 16 matches.
Sarmiento Resistencia found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Defensores de Vilelas lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sarmiento Resistencia VS Defensores de Vilelas
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sarmiento Resistencia
(Home) 05 Jul
Boca Unidos
2 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
28 Jun
Sarmiento Resistencia
1 : 0 Tucuman Central
21 Jun
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
14 Jun
Sarmiento Resistencia
2 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
06 Jun
Bartolome Mitre
2 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Sarmiento Resistencia
1 : 0 Tucuman Central
14 Jun
Sarmiento Resistencia
2 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
31 May
Sarmiento Resistencia
0 : 1 Sarmiento de La Banda
03 May
Sarmiento Resistencia
1 : 1 Boca Unidos
18 Apr
Sarmiento Resistencia
1 : 1 San Martin Formosa
Page 1 of 3
Defensores de Vilelas
(Away) 12 Jul
Bartolome Mitre
1 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
04 Jul
Defensores de Vilelas
3 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
28 Jun
Juventud Antoniana
4 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
21 Jun
Defensores de Vilelas
2 : 1 Sol de America
14 Jun
Sarmiento Resistencia
2 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
Page 1 of 4
12 Jul
Bartolome Mitre
1 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
28 Jun
Juventud Antoniana
4 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
14 Jun
Sarmiento Resistencia
2 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
31 May
Tucuman Central
2 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
03 May
Sarmiento de La Banda
1 : 2 Defensores de Vilelas
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportivo Belgrano | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 19:7 | 29 |
| 2 | Douglas Haig | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 20:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 15:10 | 26 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22:18 | 26 |
| 5 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 25 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 11:12 | 23 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19:27 | 21 |
| 8 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 14:21 | 18 |
| 9 | Gimnasia E.R. | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 12:17 | 17 |
| 10 | El Linqueno | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13:21 | 16 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24:19 | 27 |
| 2 | Bartolome Mitre | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 13:6 | 26 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 18:12 | 26 |
| 4 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 16:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Juventud Antoniana | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:11 | 22 |
| 6 | Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:26 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Unidos | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19:22 | 18 |
| 8 | Tucuman Central | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 13:18 | 16 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10:22 | 12 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentino MM | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 15:11 | 22 |
| 3 | Biblioteca Atenas | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 12:13 | 22 |
| 4 | Huracan Las Heras | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 11:13 | 22 |
| 5 | Fundacion Amigos | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 17:14 | 20 |
| 6 | Costa Brava | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 12:12 | 18 |
| 7 | San Martin Mendoza | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 10:14 | 18 |
| 8 | Juventud U.U. | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10:10 | 16 |
| 9 | Deportivo Rincon | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12:16 | 16 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 11:4 | 28 |
| 2 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:7 | 27 |
| 3 | Kimberley | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 14:8 | 25 |
| 4 | Villa Mitre | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 11:5 | 22 |
| 5 | Germinal | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 7:12 | 18 |
| 6 | Sol de Mayo | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:15 | 17 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11:20 | 14 |
| 8 | Santamarina | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 9 | Circulo Deportivo | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7:15 | 12 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)