Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sarnese vs Cynthialbalonga

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Munoz D.
(Penalty)
22' Event
Ingretolli C.
(Penalty)
32' Event
Simonetti L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 game between Sarnese and Cynthialbalonga finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarnese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sarnese
30%
Draws
23%
Cynthialbalonga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sarnese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Cynthialbalonga have managed 1.43 goals a game lately — Sarnese are scoring more at 1.65.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Sarnese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sarnese Clean Sheet 20%
Cynthialbalonga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarnese Cynthialbalonga
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 11 6
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.65 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Sarnese vs Cynthialbalonga
4:3
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Cynthialbalonga vs Sarnese
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarnese Compare

Top Goalscorer Fall A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Serio S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Cynthialbalonga Compare

Top Goalscorer Simonetti L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cardoselli C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarnese 40 / 100
Cynthialbalonga 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarnese Cynthialbalonga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarnese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sarnese scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Cynthialbalonga let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Sarnese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sarnese VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarnese

(Home)
20 Sept
Sarnese
3 : 1
Gelbison
16 Sept
US Venafro
0 : 1
Sarnese
12 Sept
Afragolese
1 : 1
Sarnese
06 Sept
Sarnese
2 : 1
Budoni Calcio
30 Jul
Cavese
1 : 0
Sarnese
Page 1 of 7

Cynthialbalonga

(Away)
04 May
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Cynthialbalonga
27 Apr
Cynthialbalonga
4 : 0
Terracina
17 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 0
Cynthialbalonga
13 Apr
Cynthialbalonga
0 : 0
Atl. Lodigiani
06 Apr
Olbia
3 : 1
Cynthialbalonga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guidonia 1937 34 20 9 5 59:25 69
2 Gelbison 34 18 10 6 57:37 64
3 Sarnese 34 18 8 8 54:37 62
4 Cassino 34 15 13 6 40:25 58
5 A.C. Savoia 34 16 9 9 45:33 57
6 Paganese 34 15 11 8 41:28 56
7 Cynthialbalonga 34 15 6 13 49:42 51
8 Puteolana Internapoli 34 13 11 10 48:42 50
9 Trastevere Calcio 34 12 8 14 52:55 44
10 Olbia 34 11 9 14 46:50 42
11 Latte Dolce 34 11 8 15 52:57 41
12 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 10 14 39:57 40
13 Atl. Lodigiani 34 9 11 14 39:49 38
14 Real Monterotondo 34 10 8 16 34:39 38
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 10 8 16 39:41 38
16 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 8 9 17 35:56 33
17 Atletico Uri 34 6 11 17 33:53 29
18 Terracina 34 5 9 20 27:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Out)