Sport Picks
Sarnese vs Ilvamaddalena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 game between Sarnese and Ilvamaddalena finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarnese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sarnese carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Sarnese a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sarnese | Ilvamaddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sarnese Compare
Ilvamaddalena Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sarnese's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Ilvamaddalena let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Sarnese stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Sarnese
(Home)Ilvamaddalena
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guidonia 1937 | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 59:25 | 69 |
| 2 | Gelbison | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 57:37 | 64 |
| 3 | Sarnese | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 54:37 | 62 |
| 4 | Cassino | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 40:25 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C. Savoia | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 45:33 | 57 |
| 6 | Paganese | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 41:28 | 56 |
| 7 | Cynthialbalonga | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 49:42 | 51 |
| 8 | Puteolana Internapoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 48:42 | 50 |
| 9 | Trastevere Calcio | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 52:55 | 44 |
| 10 | Olbia | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:50 | 42 |
| 11 | Latte Dolce | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 52:57 | 41 |
| 12 | Anzio Calcio 1924 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39:57 | 40 |
| 13 | Atl. Lodigiani | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:49 | 38 |
| 14 | Real Monterotondo | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 34:39 | 38 |
| 15 | Ilvamaddalena | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 39:41 | 38 |
| 16 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 35:56 | 33 |
| 17 | Atletico Uri | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 33:53 | 29 |
| 18 | Terracina | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 27:63 | 24 |
