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Sarnese vs Puteolana Internapoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Bombaci S.
61' Event
Coniglio F.
75' Event
Coniglio F.

AI Match Summary

Puteolana Internapoli in this Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puteolana Internapoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sarnese
35%
Draws
23%
Puteolana Internapoli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sarnese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Sarnese have won more games recently than Puteolana Internapoli.
  • Sarnese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sarnese Clean Sheet 20%
Puteolana Internapoli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarnese Puteolana Internapoli
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 12 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Sarnese vs Puteolana Internapoli
0:3
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Puteolana Internapoli vs Sarnese
0:0
Apr 19, 2015 Serie D - Group H
Sarnese vs Puteolana Internapoli
2:2
Dec 6, 2014 Serie D - Group H
Puteolana Internapoli vs Sarnese
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarnese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Puteolana Internapoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Coniglio F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bombaci S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarnese 85 / 100
Puteolana Internapoli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarnese Puteolana Internapoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarnese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Sarnese stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sarnese scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Puteolana Internapoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sarnese VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarnese

(Home)
04 Oct
Sarnese
2 : 1
Paganese
27 Sept
Ossese
2 : 2
Sarnese
20 Sept
Sarnese
3 : 1
Gelbison
16 Sept
US Venafro
0 : 1
Sarnese
12 Sept
Afragolese
1 : 1
Sarnese
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Puteolana Internapoli

(Away)
03 May
Terracina
1 : 3
Puteolana Internapoli
27 Apr
Puteolana Internapoli
1 : 1
Cassino
17 Apr
Puteolana Internapoli
0 : 4
Guidonia 1937
13 Apr
Anzio Calcio 1924
2 : 2
Puteolana Internapoli
06 Apr
Puteolana Internapoli
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guidonia 1937 34 20 9 5 59:25 69
2 Gelbison 34 18 10 6 57:37 64
3 Sarnese 34 18 8 8 54:37 62
4 Cassino 34 15 13 6 40:25 58
5 A.C. Savoia 34 16 9 9 45:33 57
6 Paganese 34 15 11 8 41:28 56
7 Cynthialbalonga 34 15 6 13 49:42 51
8 Puteolana Internapoli 34 13 11 10 48:42 50
9 Trastevere Calcio 34 12 8 14 52:55 44
10 Olbia 34 11 9 14 46:50 42
11 Latte Dolce 34 11 8 15 52:57 41
12 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 10 14 39:57 40
13 Atl. Lodigiani 34 9 11 14 39:49 38
14 Real Monterotondo 34 10 8 16 34:39 38
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 10 8 16 39:41 38
16 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 8 9 17 35:56 33
17 Atletico Uri 34 6 11 17 33:53 29
18 Terracina 34 5 9 20 27:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Out)