Sport Picks
Sarpsborg 08 U19 vs Fredrikstad U19
Norway
Nasjonal U19 CL 
Match Events
48'
48'
Ljung M.
73'
73'
Theodorsen H.
84'
84'
Nordrum E.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fredrikstad U19
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Fredrikstad U19 come out ahead of Sarpsborg 08 U19 on wins alone.
- 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Fredrikstad U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Fredrikstad U19, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Sarpsborg 08 U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Fredrikstad U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sarpsborg 08 U19 | Fredrikstad U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 14 | 19 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.35 | 2.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.43 | 2.41 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 30, 2026 Nasjonal U19 CL
Sarpsborg 08 U19 vs Fredrikstad U19
1:2
Aug 18, 2016 Junior U19
Sarpsborg 08 U19 vs Fredrikstad U19
3:0
Apr 21, 2016 Junior U19
Fredrikstad U19 vs Sarpsborg 08 U19
0:1
Sep 22, 2011 Junior U19
Fredrikstad U19 vs Sarpsborg 08 U19
6:0
Apr 20, 2011 Junior U19
Sarpsborg 08 U19 vs Fredrikstad U19
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sarpsborg 08 U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Ljung M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.22
Fredrikstad U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Theodorsen H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nordrum E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.19
Avg xA / game 1.34
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sarpsborg 08 U19 30 / 100
Fredrikstad U19 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sarpsborg 08 U19 Fredrikstad U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fredrikstad U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sarpsborg 08 U19 scored in 84% of their last 31 games.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Fredrikstad U19 let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.
Sarpsborg 08 U19 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sarpsborg 08 U19 VS Fredrikstad U19
2.86 Goals Scored 2.25
2.57 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
86% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Sarpsborg 08 U19
(Home) 30 Apr
Sarpsborg 08 U19
1 : 2 Fredrikstad U19
22 Mar
Sarpsborg 08 U19
1 : 3 Aalesund U19
15 Mar
Start U19
0 : 4 Sarpsborg 08 U19
07 Mar
Tromso U19
3 : 2 Sarpsborg 08 U19
28 Feb
Sarpsborg 08 U19
5 : 1 Moss U19
Page 1 of 7
30 Apr
Sarpsborg 08 U19
1 : 2 Fredrikstad U19
22 Mar
Sarpsborg 08 U19
1 : 3 Aalesund U19
28 Feb
Sarpsborg 08 U19
5 : 1 Moss U19
18 Feb
Sarpsborg 08 U19
2 : 5 Sandefjord U19
22 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 U19
3 : 1 Bodo/Glimt U19
Page 1 of 3
Fredrikstad U19
(Away) 10 Sept
Fredrikstad U19
5 : 2 Asane U19
27 Aug
Asane U19
3 : 1 Fredrikstad U19
06 Aug
Stabaek U19
2 : 4 Fredrikstad U19
29 Jul
Fredrikstad U19
2 : 1 Stabaek U19
30 Apr
Sarpsborg 08 U19
1 : 2 Fredrikstad U19
Page 1 of 7
27 Aug
Asane U19
3 : 1 Fredrikstad U19
06 Aug
Stabaek U19
2 : 4 Fredrikstad U19
30 Apr
Sarpsborg 08 U19
1 : 2 Fredrikstad U19
16 Mar
Tromso U19
4 : 1 Fredrikstad U19
08 Feb
Ham-Kam U19
5 : 1 Fredrikstad U19
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Lillestrom U19 -
TBD -
Haugesund U19 1
Aalesund U19 2
Tromso U19 -
TBD -
Stromsgodset U19 6
Sandnes Ulf U19 2
Ham-Kam U19 -
TBD -
Odds BK U19 4
Kfum Oslo U19 0
Rosenborg U19 -
TBD -
Molde U19 3
Moss U19 2
Stabaek U19 -
TBD -
Sarpsborg 08 U19 1
Fredrikstad U19 2
Sandefjord U19 -
TBD -
Asane U19 4
Sogndal U19 0
Lyn U19 -
TBD -
Viking U19 4
Kristiansund U19 3
Brann U19 -
TBD -
Valerenga U19 2
Kongsvinger U19 0
1/8-finals
Lillestrom U19 7
Aalesund U19 3
Tromso U19 3
Stromsgodset U19 2
Ham-Kam U19 10
Odds BK U19 3
Rosenborg U19 6
Molde U19 2
Stabaek U19 3
Fredrikstad U19 6
Sandefjord U19 3
Asane U19 9
Lyn U19 4
Viking U19 10
Brann U19 4
Valerenga U19 2
Quarter-finals
Lillestrom U19 7
Tromso U19 2
Ham-Kam U19 1
Rosenborg U19 9
Fredrikstad U19 6
Asane U19 5
Viking U19 0
Brann U19 5
Semi-finals
Lillestrom U19 -
Rosenborg U19 -
Fredrikstad U19 -
Brann U19 -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
