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Sarpsborg 08 vs Kjelsas

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jan 31, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sarpsborg 08 host Kjelsas in the Club Friendly. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Sarpsborg 08 have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Kjelsas's 2.38 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Sarpsborg 08 slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.31 - 2.06) back Kjelsas to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sarpsborg 08
30%
Draws
34%
Kjelsas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sarpsborg 08

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Kjelsas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sarpsborg 08 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 10%
Kjelsas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarpsborg 08 Kjelsas
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 13 23
Draws 3 1
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.13 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Sarpsborg 08 vs Kjelsas
0:0
Sep 24, 2025 NM Cup
Kjelsas vs Sarpsborg 08
5:6
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Sarpsborg 08 vs Kjelsas
3:1
Feb 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Sarpsborg 08 vs Kjelsas
1:1
May 25, 2011 NM Cup
Kjelsas vs Sarpsborg 08
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 34 / 100
Kjelsas 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarpsborg 08 Kjelsas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sarpsborg 08 scored in 85% of their last 26 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Kjelsas has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Sarpsborg 08 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 VS Kjelsas
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%