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Sarpsborg 08 vs Kjelsas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jan 31, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sarpsborg 08 host Kjelsas in the Club Friendly. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Sarpsborg 08 have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.36 conceded recently, against Kjelsas's 2.38 scored and 1.34 conceded. Past meetings favor Sarpsborg 08 slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.31 - 1.69) back Kjelsas to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sarpsborg 08
35%
Draws
35%
Kjelsas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Kjelsas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 13%
Kjelsas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarpsborg 08 Kjelsas
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 21
Draws 8 2
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.25 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Sarpsborg 08 vs Kjelsas
0:0
Sep 24, 2025 NM Cup
Kjelsas vs Sarpsborg 08
5:6
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Sarpsborg 08 vs Kjelsas
3:1
Feb 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Sarpsborg 08 vs Kjelsas
1:1
May 25, 2011 NM Cup
Kjelsas vs Sarpsborg 08
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 35 / 100
Kjelsas 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarpsborg 08 Kjelsas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kjelsas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Sarpsborg 08 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Kjelsas has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Sarpsborg 08 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 VS Kjelsas
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarpsborg 08

(Home)
30 Sept
Follo
0 : 2
Sarpsborg 08
18 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 3
KFUM Oslo
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2
Valerenga
30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0
Sarpsborg 08
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Kjelsas

(Away)
03 Oct
Ull/Kisa
1 : 2
Kjelsas
26 Sept
Kjelsas
2 : 2
Follo
20 Sept
Grorud
3 : 2
Kjelsas
16 Sept
Kjelsas
0 : 2
Ham-Kam
13 Sept
Kjelsas
5 : 0
Stjordals Blink
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