Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sarpsborg 08 vs Moss

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Marcus R.
37' Event
Opoku M.
57' Event
Haheim-Elveseter M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Sarpsborg 08 and Moss finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarpsborg 08.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Sarpsborg 08
17%
Draws
13%
Moss
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sarpsborg 08

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Sarpsborg 08 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sarpsborg 08's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 11%
Moss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarpsborg 08 Moss
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.25 2
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Sarpsborg 08 vs Moss
3:1
Feb 7, 2025 Club Friendly
Sarpsborg 08 vs Moss
2:1
Mar 2, 2024 Club Friendly
Sarpsborg 08 vs Moss
1:4
Mar 5, 2023 Club Friendly
Sarpsborg 08 vs Moss
4:0
Jun 22, 2022 NM Cup
Moss vs Sarpsborg 08
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarpsborg 08 Compare

Top Goalscorer Opoku M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haheim-Elveseter M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Moss Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcus R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 65 / 100
Moss 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarpsborg 08 Moss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarpsborg 08 scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Moss let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Sarpsborg 08 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 VS Moss
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarpsborg 08

(Home)
18 Jul
Kristiansund
0 : 0
Sarpsborg 08
12 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0
Viking
03 Jul
Lillestrom
3 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
29 May
Brann
1 : 2
Sarpsborg 08
25 May
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 1
Molde
Page 1 of 6

Moss

(Away)
04 Jul
Egersund
3 : 0
Moss
27 Jun
Strommen
3 : 2
Moss
21 Jun
Moss
1 : 4
Sandnes Ulf
14 Jun
Sogndal
2 : 4
Moss
30 May
Moss
2 : 2
Stabaek
Page 1 of 6