Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sarpsborg 08 vs Moss

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Marcus R.
37' Event
Opoku M.
57' Event
Haheim-Elveseter M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Sarpsborg 08 and Moss finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarpsborg 08.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sarpsborg 08
35%
Draws
35%
Moss
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sarpsborg 08 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sarpsborg 08's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 15%
Moss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarpsborg 08 Moss
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.24 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Sarpsborg 08 vs Moss
3:1
Feb 7, 2025 Club Friendly
Sarpsborg 08 vs Moss
2:1
Mar 2, 2024 Club Friendly
Sarpsborg 08 vs Moss
1:4
Mar 5, 2023 Club Friendly
Sarpsborg 08 vs Moss
4:0
Jun 22, 2022 NM Cup
Moss vs Sarpsborg 08
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarpsborg 08 Compare

Top Goalscorer Opoku M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haheim-Elveseter M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Moss Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcus R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 39 / 100
Moss 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarpsborg 08 Moss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarpsborg 08 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moss let in goals in 93% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Sarpsborg 08 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Sarpsborg 08 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 VS Moss
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarpsborg 08

(Home)
18 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 3
KFUM Oslo
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2
Valerenga
30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0
Sarpsborg 08
22 Aug
Sparta Sarpsborg
0 : 2
Sarpsborg 08
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Moss

(Away)
13 Sept
Moss
1 : 4
Haugesund
05 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 3
Moss
30 Aug
Moss
1 : 2
Strommen
26 Aug
Moss
2 : 2
Sogndal
22 Aug
Lorenskog
0 : 3
Moss
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