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Sarpsborg 08 vs Oster

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Berget J.
35' Event
Gueye B.
46' Event
Nibe A.

AI Match Summary

Sarpsborg 08 in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sarpsborg 08.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sarpsborg 08
35%
Draws
35%
Oster
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Oster lately — more wins on the board than Sarpsborg 08.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 16%
Oster Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarpsborg 08 Oster
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Sarpsborg 08 vs Oster
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarpsborg 08 Compare

Top Goalscorer Berget J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gueye B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Oster Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 31 / 100
Oster 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarpsborg 08 Oster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarpsborg 08 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Oster conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Sarpsborg 08 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 VS Oster
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarpsborg 08

(Home)
18 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 3
KFUM Oslo
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2
Valerenga
30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0
Sarpsborg 08
22 Aug
Sparta Sarpsborg
0 : 2
Sarpsborg 08
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Oster

(Away)
15 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 3
Oster
10 Sept
Falkenberg
2 : 1
Oster
04 Sept
Oster
1 : 2
Nordic United
30 Aug
Sandviken
1 : 1
Oster
25 Aug
Oster
1 : 0
Sundsvall
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