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Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sarpsborg 08 host Rosenborg in the Eliteserien. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Rosenborg have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while Sarpsborg 08 have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.24. Head-to-head, Sarpsborg 08 have won 2 to Rosenborg's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 2.50, favoring Rosenborg. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Sarpsborg 08
30%
Draws
50%
Rosenborg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rosenborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Sarpsborg 08 haven't matched Rosenborg's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Rosenborg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 10%
Rosenborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarpsborg 08 Rosenborg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.24 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08
0:0
Apr 12, 2026 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08
2:3
Jul 18, 2025 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg
2:2
Jun 25, 2025 NM Cup
Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 10 / 100
Rosenborg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarpsborg 08 Rosenborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosenborg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Sarpsborg 08 scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Rosenborg has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Sarpsborg 08 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 VS Rosenborg
1.25 Goals Scored 3.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarpsborg 08

(Home)
30 Sept
Follo
0 : 2
Sarpsborg 08
18 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 3
KFUM Oslo
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2
Valerenga
30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0
Sarpsborg 08
Page 1 of 6

Rosenborg

(Away)
03 Oct
Rosenborg
2 : 0
Ostersund
19 Sept
Kristiansund
1 : 3
Rosenborg
16 Sept
Floya
1 : 4
Rosenborg
12 Sept
Rosenborg
5 : 3
Tromso
05 Sept
Rosenborg
4 : 0
Ham-Kam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viking 21 16 2 3 54:20 50
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 16 2 3 53:19 50
3 Tromso 21 11 5 5 40:29 38
4 Molde 21 11 3 7 44:32 36
5 Rosenborg 21 10 3 8 39:30 33
6 Lillestrom 21 10 2 9 28:29 32
7 Brann 21 9 2 10 39:32 29
8 Fredrikstad 21 8 4 9 25:32 28
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Sandefjord 21 6 5 10 21:27 23
12 Valerenga 21 6 5 10 34:43 23
13 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 29:44 23
14 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 33:46 21
15 Kristiansund 21 5 4 12 21:40 19
16 Start 21 4 4 13 22:44 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)