Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Cynthialbalonga

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Pinna G.
51' Event
Pinna G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 game between Sarrabus Ogliastra and Cynthialbalonga finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarrabus Ogliastra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sarrabus Ogliastra
35%
Draws
32%
Cynthialbalonga
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Sarrabus Ogliastra have managed 1.24 goals a game lately — Cynthialbalonga are scoring more at 1.43.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Sarrabus Ogliastra Clean Sheet 20%
Cynthialbalonga Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarrabus Ogliastra Cynthialbalonga
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Cynthialbalonga
2:0
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Cynthialbalonga vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
0:1
Mar 24, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Cynthialbalonga
1:1
Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Cynthialbalonga vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarrabus Ogliastra Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinna G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Cynthialbalonga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarrabus Ogliastra 32 / 100
Cynthialbalonga 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarrabus Ogliastra Cynthialbalonga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cynthialbalonga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarrabus Ogliastra found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Cynthialbalonga conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Sarrabus Ogliastra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sarrabus Ogliastra VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarrabus Ogliastra

(Home)
20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
16 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 2
Certosa V. Campagnano
13 Sept
Anzio Calcio 1924
0 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
06 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
1 : 2
Monastir
03 May
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2
Olbia
Page 1 of 7

Cynthialbalonga

(Away)
04 May
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Cynthialbalonga
27 Apr
Cynthialbalonga
4 : 0
Terracina
17 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 0
Cynthialbalonga
13 Apr
Cynthialbalonga
0 : 0
Atl. Lodigiani
06 Apr
Olbia
3 : 1
Cynthialbalonga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guidonia 1937 34 20 9 5 59:25 69
2 Gelbison 34 18 10 6 57:37 64
3 Sarnese 34 18 8 8 54:37 62
4 Cassino 34 15 13 6 40:25 58
5 A.C. Savoia 34 16 9 9 45:33 57
6 Paganese 34 15 11 8 41:28 56
7 Cynthialbalonga 34 15 6 13 49:42 51
8 Puteolana Internapoli 34 13 11 10 48:42 50
9 Trastevere Calcio 34 12 8 14 52:55 44
10 Olbia 34 11 9 14 46:50 42
11 Latte Dolce 34 11 8 15 52:57 41
12 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 10 14 39:57 40
13 Atl. Lodigiani 34 9 11 14 39:49 38
14 Real Monterotondo 34 10 8 16 34:39 38
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 10 8 16 39:41 38
16 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 8 9 17 35:56 33
17 Atletico Uri 34 6 11 17 33:53 29
18 Terracina 34 5 9 20 27:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Out)