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Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Monastir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Corcione M.
35' Event
Masia A.
45' Event
Leone A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 game between Sarrabus Ogliastra and Monastir finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monastir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Sarrabus Ogliastra
30%
Draws
58%
Monastir
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monastir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Sarrabus Ogliastra haven't matched Monastir's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Monastir taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Monastir here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sarrabus Ogliastra Clean Sheet 13%
Monastir Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarrabus Ogliastra Monastir
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Monastir
1:2
Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Monastir
1:3
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Monastir vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarrabus Ogliastra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Monastir Compare

Top Goalscorer Corcione M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Masia A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarrabus Ogliastra 10 / 100
Monastir 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarrabus Ogliastra Monastir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monastir Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Sarrabus Ogliastra scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Monastir conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Sarrabus Ogliastra has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sarrabus Ogliastra VS Monastir
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarrabus Ogliastra

(Home)
07 Oct
Latte Dolce
3 : 0
Sarrabus Ogliastra
04 Oct
Latte Dolce
1 : 0
Sarrabus Ogliastra
27 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2
Unipomezia
20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
16 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 2
Certosa V. Campagnano
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Monastir

(Away)
04 Oct
Budoni Calcio
1 : 5
Monastir
27 Sept
Monastir
2 : 2
Albalonga
20 Sept
Monastir
2 : 1
Aranova
16 Sept
Anzio Calcio 1924
3 : 1
Monastir
12 Sept
Monastir
5 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)