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Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Terracina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Capuccilli C.
27' Event
Altobelli D.
49' Event
Derbali S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 game between Sarrabus Ogliastra and Terracina finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarrabus Ogliastra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sarrabus Ogliastra
30%
Draws
23%
Terracina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sarrabus Ogliastra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sarrabus Ogliastra come out ahead of Terracina on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sarrabus Ogliastra's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Sarrabus Ogliastra Clean Sheet 68%
Terracina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarrabus Ogliastra Terracina
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.13 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Terracina
3:2
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Terracina vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarrabus Ogliastra Compare

Top Goalscorer Derbali S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rossi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Terracina Compare

Top Goalscorer Capuccilli C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Altobelli D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarrabus Ogliastra 68 / 100
Terracina 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarrabus Ogliastra Terracina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarrabus Ogliastra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Terracina conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Sarrabus Ogliastra's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Terracina lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarrabus Ogliastra VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarrabus Ogliastra

(Home)
07 Oct
Latte Dolce
3 : 0
Sarrabus Ogliastra
04 Oct
Latte Dolce
1 : 0
Sarrabus Ogliastra
27 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2
Unipomezia
20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
16 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 2
Certosa V. Campagnano
Page 1 of 7

Terracina

(Away)
03 May
Terracina
1 : 3
Puteolana Internapoli
27 Apr
Cynthialbalonga
4 : 0
Terracina
17 Apr
A.C. Savoia
2 : 0
Terracina
13 Apr
Terracina
0 : 0
Olbia
06 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
3 : 2
Terracina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guidonia 1937 34 20 9 5 59:25 69
2 Gelbison 34 18 10 6 57:37 64
3 Sarnese 34 18 8 8 54:37 62
4 Cassino 34 15 13 6 40:25 58
5 A.C. Savoia 34 16 9 9 45:33 57
6 Paganese 34 15 11 8 41:28 56
7 Cynthialbalonga 34 15 6 13 49:42 51
8 Puteolana Internapoli 34 13 11 10 48:42 50
9 Trastevere Calcio 34 12 8 14 52:55 44
10 Olbia 34 11 9 14 46:50 42
11 Latte Dolce 34 11 8 15 52:57 41
12 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 10 14 39:57 40
13 Atl. Lodigiani 34 9 11 14 39:49 38
14 Real Monterotondo 34 10 8 16 34:39 38
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 10 8 16 39:41 38
16 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 8 9 17 35:56 33
17 Atletico Uri 34 6 11 17 33:53 29
18 Terracina 34 5 9 20 27:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Out)