Sport Picks
Sarreguemines vs Metz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
France
Coupe de France 2018/2019 
Match Events
45'
45'
Niane I.
(Penalty)
64'
64'
Simpara S.
1'
1'
Niane I.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Metz in this Coupe de France 2018/2019 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
30%
28%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sarreguemines
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Sarreguemines have won more games recently than Metz.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Sarreguemines have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Metz, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Sarreguemines Clean Sheet 19%
Metz Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sarreguemines | Metz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 17 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 0 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.94 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 18, 2018 Coupe de France
Sarreguemines vs Metz
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sarreguemines Compare
Top Goalscorer Simpara S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Metz Compare
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sarreguemines 31 / 100
Metz 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sarreguemines Metz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sarreguemines Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Metz has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.
Sarreguemines's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 17 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Sarreguemines remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Metz
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sarreguemines
(Home) 28 Nov
Sarreguemines
3 : 4 Nancy
15 Nov
Sarreguemines
5 : 3 Furiani Agliani
05 Jan
Sarreguemines
0 : 2 Valenciennes
09 Dec
Sarreguemines
3 : 0 Biesheim
19 Nov
Jarville
2 : 4 Sarreguemines
Page 1 of 4
28 Nov
Sarreguemines
3 : 4 Nancy
15 Nov
Sarreguemines
5 : 3 Furiani Agliani
05 Jan
Sarreguemines
0 : 2 Valenciennes
09 Dec
Sarreguemines
3 : 0 Biesheim
18 Nov
Sarreguemines
1 : 2 Metz
Page 1 of 3
Metz
(Away) 19 Sept
Metz
2 : 2 St Etienne
14 Sept
Red Star
1 : 0 Metz
05 Sept
Metz
4 : 1 Rodez
29 Aug
Annecy
1 : 1 Metz
22 Aug
Metz
1 : 1 Laval
Page 1 of 7
14 Sept
Red Star
1 : 0 Metz
29 Aug
Annecy
1 : 1 Metz
14 Aug
Grenoble
0 : 0 Metz
17 May
Nice
0 : 0 Metz
29 Apr
RFC Seraing
1 : 1 Metz
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Charitoise 2
Carrieres Gresillons 1
FCA Troyes 1
Bourges 2
Valenciennes 3
Dunkerque 1
Vieux-Habitants 0
Thaon 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Amiens SC -
Nancy 1
Annecy 0
Heillecourt 0
St. Louis Neuweg 3
Entente Crest-Aouste 2
Montelimar 0
De Volvic 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Stade Pontivyen 2
Vignoc Hede Guipel 0
Chapelle 0
Avranches 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guingamp -
Bastia 2
Le Mans 1
Marck 0
Saint-Omer 1
Saint-Malo 1
Lorient 0
Etoile Matoury 2
Concarneau 3
GFC Ajaccio 1
Auch 0
Olympique de Valence 0
Beaucairois 3
Lege Capferret 6
Tartas St. Yaguen 4
Riom 0
Noisy-le-Grand 1
Viry-Chatillon 1
Montlucon 0
Auxerre 0
Angouleme CFC 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
Red Star 3
Avenir Lozere 2
Epernay 1
Avion 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caen -
Orleans 2
Caennaise 0
Morteau Montlebon 0
Paray 1
Sainte-Genevieve 4
Sainte-Suzanne 0
Stade Poitevin 0
Aiglon Lamentin 1
Niort 2
Chauray 0
Chatellerault 0
Challans 2
Vertou 2
Bellevue Nantes 0
La Brede 0
Bergerac 8
Monaco -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Frejus Saint Raphael 1
Toulon 0
Beziers 1
Canet Roussillon 2
St Quentin 5
Wasquehal 3
Saint-Amand 0
Prix les Mezieres 2
CMS Oissel 5
Bourny Laval 1
Sarreguemines 1
Metz 2
Lille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Illkirch 3
Saint Avold 0
Haguenau 3
Sochaux 4
Limonest 4
Feillens 0
Vimy 0
Creteil 2
Rodez 5
Luzenac 2
St Orens 1
Sete 2
Saint-Pryve 1
US Matoury 0
Compiegne 0
Troyes 2
La Chapelle 3
Escaudoeuvres 1
Biars-Bretenoux 2
Aurillac 3
Brest 4
Vilaine Atlantique 1
Football Avenir de Theix 0
Vannes 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grand Quevilly 4
Cherbourg 1
Plouvorn 0
Pontivy 1
Grenoble 3
Beaune 0
Chassieu Decines 1
Hyeres 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Strasbourg -
Les Herbiers 2
Chauvigny 0
Cholet 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 2
Besancon FC 1
Jeanne d'Arc 0
Chataigneraie 1
Tours 2
Gravelines 3
ASC Hazebrouck 1
Chambly 0
Neslois 1
Chamalieres 2
Melun 0
Limoges 0
Villefranche 1
IC Croix 1
Paris FC 0
Olympique Marcquois 0
Boulogne 2
St. Maur Lusitanos 1
JA Drancy 0
Bourg Peronnas 0
Raon L Etape 1
Clermont 3
Gueugnon 1
Magenta 0
FC Bobigny 93 1
Ales 2
AC Ajaccio 0
Salinieres 0
Marignane GCB 1
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Epinal 4
Golden Lion 2
Reipertswiller 1
Olympique Strasbourg 4
Schiltigheim 1
Avize-Grauves 0
Rossfeld 0
Biesheim 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dijon -
Vitre 1
Saint Lo Manche 0
Guipavas 0
Montagnarde 1
Lannion FC 3
Stella Maris Douarnenez 0
Blois Foot 41 1
Longueau 2
Bordeaux -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Villers Houlgate 2
Mondeville 0
Gamaches 1
Le Havre 7
Andrezieux 1
Louhans Cuiseaux 0
Val Lyonnais 1
Annecy-le-Vieux 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
Nimes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cote Bleue 3
Sainte-Rose 1
Montceau 1
Lyon - La Duchere 4
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Lens 2
Football Club Nogent 0
AS Dragon 0
Versailles 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
Sannois 4
Mtsapere 0
Borgo 2
Sedan 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
Chateauroux 3
Fontenay 2
Genets 1
Pau 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
1/64-finals
Lyon -
TBD -
Charitoise 1
Bourges 2
Valenciennes 6
Thaon 3
TBD -
Amiens SC -
Nancy 2
St. Louis Neuweg 0
Entente Crest-Aouste 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Stade Pontivyen 1
Avranches 0
TBD -
Guingamp -
Bastia 3
Saint-Omer 1
Saint-Malo 0
Concarneau 2
GFC Ajaccio 2
Beaucairois 0
Lege Capferret 1
Noisy-le-Grand 2
Viry-Chatillon 4
Angouleme CFC 2
TBD -
Angers -
Red Star 1
Avion 0
TBD -
Caen -
Orleans 4
Paray 0
Sainte-Genevieve 2
Aiglon Lamentin 3
Niort 1
Challans 0
Vertou 1
Bergerac 3
Monaco -
TBD -
Frejus Saint Raphael 2
Canet Roussillon 4
St Quentin 4
Prix les Mezieres 3
CMS Oissel 0
Metz 1
Lille -
TBD -
Illkirch 0
Sochaux 1
Limonest 2
Creteil 1
Rodez 0
Sete 2
Saint-Pryve 3
Troyes 2
La Chapelle 0
Aurillac 1
Brest 3
Vannes 2
TBD -
Rennes -
PSG -
TBD -
Grand Quevilly 1
Pontivy 2
Grenoble 2
Hyeres 1
TBD -
Strasbourg -
Les Herbiers 6
Le Poire Sur Vie 1
Besancon FC 1
Tours 2
Gravelines 1
Neslois 0
Chamalieres 0
Villefranche 1
IC Croix 3
Boulogne 2
St. Maur Lusitanos 2
Raon L Etape 3
Clermont 2
FC Bobigny 93 1
Ales 0
Marignane GCB 2
St Etienne -
TBD -
Epinal 0
Olympique Strasbourg 1
Schiltigheim 2
Biesheim 1
TBD -
Dijon -
Vitre 2
Montagnarde 0
Lannion FC 1
Longueau 2
Bordeaux -
TBD -
Villers Houlgate 1
Le Havre 5
Andrezieux 3
Annecy-le-Vieux 1
TBD -
Marseille -
Nimes -
TBD -
Cote Bleue 1
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Lens 4
Versailles 2
TBD -
Reims -
Sannois 1
Sedan 0
TBD -
Montpellier -
Chateauroux 4
Pau 0
TBD -
Nantes -
1/32-finals
Lyon 2
Bourges 0
Valenciennes 0
Amiens SC 1
Nancy 1
Le Puy-en-Velay 0
Stade Pontivyen 2
Guingamp 4
Bastia 3
Concarneau 2
GFC Ajaccio 1
Noisy-le-Grand 2
Viry-Chatillon 1
Angers 0
Red Star 0
Caen 1
Orleans 3
Aiglon Lamentin 2
Niort 1
Bergerac 2
Monaco 1
Canet Roussillon 0
St Quentin 1
Metz 2
Lille 1
Sochaux 0
Limonest 0
Sete 1
Saint-Pryve 3
Aurillac 1
Brest 2
Rennes 3
PSG 4
Pontivy 0
Grenoble 0
Strasbourg 1
Les Herbiers 2
Tours 1
Gravelines 0
Villefranche 3
IC Croix 2
Raon L Etape 0
Clermont 1
Marignane GCB 2
St Etienne 6
Olympique Strasbourg 0
Schiltigheim 1
Dijon 3
Vitre 1
Longueau 0
Bordeaux 0
Le Havre 1
Andrezieux 2
Marseille 0
Nimes 0
Lyon - La Duchere 3
Toulouse 4
Nice 1
Lens 0
Reims 2
Sannois 1
Montpellier 0
Chateauroux 1
Nantes 4
1/16-finals
Lyon 2
Amiens SC 0
Nancy 1
Guingamp 2
Bastia 2
Noisy-le-Grand 1
Viry-Chatillon 0
Caen 6
Orleans 3
Bergerac 2
Monaco 1
Metz 3
Lille 1
Sete 0
Saint-Pryve 0
Rennes 2
PSG 2
Strasbourg 0
Les Herbiers 0
Villefranche 2
IC Croix 1
Marignane GCB 0
St Etienne 3
Dijon 6
Vitre 3
Le Havre 0
Andrezieux 1
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Toulouse 5
Reims 4
Sannois 0
Nantes 1
1/8-finals
Lyon 2
Guingamp 1
Bastia 2
Caen 3
Orleans 1
Metz 0
Lille 1
Rennes 2
PSG 3
Villefranche 0
IC Croix 0
Dijon 3
Vitre 3
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Toulouse 0
Nantes 2
Quarter-finals
Lyon 3
Caen 1
Orleans 0
Rennes 2
PSG 3
Dijon 0
Vitre 0
Nantes 2
Semi-finals
Lyon 2
Rennes 3
PSG 3
Nantes 0
Final
Rennes 3
PSG 2
