Sport Picks
Sarreguemines vs Valenciennes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
France
Coupe de France 2016/2017 
Match Events
1'
1'
M'Barki E.
19'
19'
M'Barki E.
46'
46'
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Sarreguemines advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarreguemines
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Valenciennes carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Sarreguemines's way, sitting at 70%.
- Valenciennes arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Sarreguemines, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Sarreguemines here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Sarreguemines Clean Sheet 68%
Valenciennes Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sarreguemines | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 17 | 33 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 0 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.94 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 5, 2024 Coupe de France
Sarreguemines vs Valenciennes
0:2
Dec 3, 2016 Coupe de France
Sarreguemines vs Valenciennes
2:1
Jan 3, 2016 Coupe de France
Sarreguemines vs Valenciennes
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sarreguemines Compare
Top Goalscorer M'Barki E.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Valenciennes Compare
Top Goalscorer Butin E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sarreguemines 77 / 100
Valenciennes 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sarreguemines Valenciennes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sarreguemines Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sarreguemines scored in 76% of their last 17 outings.
Valenciennes let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Sarreguemines went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Valenciennes
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sarreguemines
(Home) 28 Nov
Sarreguemines
3 : 4 Nancy
15 Nov
Sarreguemines
5 : 3 Furiani Agliani
05 Jan
Sarreguemines
0 : 2 Valenciennes
09 Dec
Sarreguemines
3 : 0 Biesheim
19 Nov
Jarville
2 : 4 Sarreguemines
Page 1 of 4
28 Nov
Sarreguemines
3 : 4 Nancy
15 Nov
Sarreguemines
5 : 3 Furiani Agliani
05 Jan
Sarreguemines
0 : 2 Valenciennes
09 Dec
Sarreguemines
3 : 0 Biesheim
18 Nov
Sarreguemines
1 : 2 Metz
Page 1 of 3
Valenciennes
(Away) 03 Oct
Versailles
1 : 0 Valenciennes
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1 Le Puy-en-Velay
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2 Valenciennes
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2 Fleury 91
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1 Valenciennes
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Versailles
1 : 0 Valenciennes
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2 Valenciennes
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1 Valenciennes
20 Aug
Paris 13 Atletico
2 : 1 Valenciennes
07 Aug
Caen
4 : 0 Valenciennes
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
Angers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montagnarde 2
Guipavas 1
AC Plouzane 1
Granville 2
Sainte-Genevieve 1
Saint-Pierroise 0
APM Metz 1
Roye 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caen -
Nancy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saint Jean Dardiere 3
Savigneux Montbrison 1
Haguenau 1
Besancon FC 4
Hauts Lyonnais 1
Moulins-Yzeure 0
Le Geldar 1
Selongey 3
Frontignan AC 1
Pezenas 0
ES Parisienne 0
Borgo 1
Lorient -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Pau 7
Magenta 1
Golden Lion 0
Tarbes 1
Stade Briochin 3
Stade Pontivyen 1
Stade Poitevin 1
Chateauroux 4
Dijon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Andrezieux 4
Football Club de Chaumont 1
Sezanne 1
Louhans Cuiseaux 3
Clermont 6
Ytrac 0
Saint Priest 1
FC Rhone Vallees 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Frejus Saint Raphael 3
Bourg Peronnas 1
Thiers 0
Le Cendre 1
Pontarlier 2
Sochaux 0
Miserieux Trevoux 0
Grenoble 1
Feignies-Aulnoye 3
Saint-Nicolas 0
Dahlenheim 2
Kaysersberg 3
Maubeuge 3
Steenvoorde 2
Homecourt CS 1
Prix les Mezieres 3
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Longueau 3
Claye Souilly 2
Saint-Omer 2
IC Croix 3
Troyes 2
Sarrebourg 0
Rousset Ste Victoire 0
Saint-Marcellin 2
Cluses Scionzier 3
Borgo FC (Inactive) 2
Sernin du Bois 1
Auxerre 4
Quevilly 2
FC Bobigny 93 1
Blanc Mesnil 1
Erneenne 2
Alencon 5
Bonchamp 1
Chauny 0
JA Drancy 4
Istres 3
Nimes 2
Mtsapere 2
Rodez 3
Hyeres 2
Vaulx 0
St-Etienne Cote Chaude 0
Athletico Marseille 2
Les Herbiers 2
Orleans 1
Niort St Florent 0
Limoges 6
Ales 2
De Volvic 1
Bords de Saone 1
GFC Ajaccio 2
Le Havre 3
Grand Quevilly 0
Vitre 1
St. Colomban Locmine 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guingamp -
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bastia -
Biarritz JA 2
Bassin d'Arcachon 1
Senart-Moissy 1
Les Sables 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
Sarreguemines 3
Bischheim Soleil 2
Etaples 0
Valenciennes 2
Villeneuve Metropole 2
Boulogne 0
St Maximin 0
Reims 3
Blagnac 2
Beziers 1
Pavillais 0
Red Star 3
Genets 2
Liguaire Niort 0
Stade Montois 1
Niort 2
Strasbourg 2
Oberlauterbach 0
FC Kronenbourg Strasbourg 0
Sarre Union 4
Sedan 2
Compiegne 1
Erstein 0
Epinal 1
Viry-Chatillon 1
SU Dives 0
Phare du Canal 0
Belfort 4
Saumur Olympique 3
Tours 2
Le Mee sur Seine 2
Le Poire Sur Vie 4
Fleury 91 3
Moulien 0
Macon 1
Lyon - La Duchere 3
Pontivy 4
TA Rennes 2
ASPTT Brest 0
Brest 3
Laval 2
Concarneau 1
Challans 0
Cholet 1
Vannes 1
Ploufragan 0
AS Dragon 0
Avranches 9
Lille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mulhouse 3
US Matoury 0
Avoine 1
Excelsior 2
Blois Foot 41 3
Romorantin 2
Vertou 0
La Guerche Drouges 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
Lens 3
Olympique Marcquois 0
Saint-Amand 1
Wasquehal 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Metz -
Rodeo 1
Palavas 0
Champigny FC 1
Pouzauges Reaumur 4
Balma 3
Luc Primaube 0
Pantaleon 0
Bergerac 1
Marseille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
Montpellier -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Chambly 2
Amiens SC 0
Beauvais 0
Le Mans 2
Jarville 2
Ornain 0
Franciscain 0
Luneville 1
AC Ajaccio 4
AS Aixe sur Vienne 1
Avion 0
Le Portel 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
1/64-finals
Angers -
TBD -
Montagnarde 0
Granville 3
Sainte-Genevieve 1
Roye 0
TBD -
Caen -
Nancy -
TBD -
Saint Jean Dardiere 0
Besancon FC 1
Hauts Lyonnais 1
Selongey 0
Frontignan AC 0
Borgo 2
Lorient -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Pau 1
Tarbes 0
Stade Briochin 0
Chateauroux 1
Dijon -
TBD -
Andrezieux 1
Louhans Cuiseaux 2
Clermont 5
FC Rhone Vallees 0
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Frejus Saint Raphael 4
Le Cendre 0
Pontarlier 0
Grenoble 1
Feignies-Aulnoye 9
Kaysersberg 0
Maubeuge 1
Prix les Mezieres 3
St Etienne -
TBD -
Longueau 0
IC Croix 7
Troyes 2
Saint-Marcellin 0
Cluses Scionzier 1
Auxerre 4
Quevilly 3
Erneenne 0
Alencon 1
JA Drancy 2
Istres 1
Rodez 0
Hyeres 0
Athletico Marseille 1
Les Herbiers 1
Limoges 0
Ales 0
GFC Ajaccio 1
Le Havre 4
St. Colomban Locmine 0
TBD -
Guingamp -
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
Bastia -
Biarritz JA 3
Les Sables 2
TBD -
Rennes -
Sarreguemines 2
Valenciennes 1
Villeneuve Metropole 0
Reims 7
Blagnac 1
Red Star 0
Genets 0
Niort 1
Strasbourg 1
Sarre Union 0
Sedan 0
Epinal 1
Viry-Chatillon 1
Belfort 0
Saumur Olympique 0
Le Poire Sur Vie 2
Fleury 91 3
Lyon - La Duchere 0
Pontivy 0
Brest 3
Laval 1
Cholet 0
Vannes 1
Avranches 2
Lille -
TBD -
Mulhouse 1
Excelsior 2
Blois Foot 41 3
La Guerche Drouges 0
TBD -
Nantes -
Lens 2
Wasquehal 0
TBD -
Metz -
Rodeo 1
Pouzauges Reaumur 0
Balma 0
Bergerac 3
Marseille -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
Montpellier -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Chambly 2
Le Mans 0
Jarville 1
Luneville 3
AC Ajaccio 1
Le Portel 0
TBD -
Monaco -
1/32-finals
Angers 2
Granville 1
Sainte-Genevieve 0
Caen 3
Nancy 3
Besancon FC 0
Hauts Lyonnais 0
Borgo 1
Lorient 2
Nice 1
Pau 1
Chateauroux 4
Dijon 2
Louhans Cuiseaux 0
Clermont 0
Bordeaux 1
Frejus Saint Raphael 2
Grenoble 1
Feignies-Aulnoye 1
Prix les Mezieres 2
St Etienne 4
IC Croix 1
Troyes 2
Auxerre 4
Quevilly 3
JA Drancy 2
Istres 1
Athletico Marseille 3
Les Herbiers 4
GFC Ajaccio 3
Le Havre 1
Guingamp 2
PSG 7
Bastia 0
Biarritz JA 0
Rennes 6
Sarreguemines 2
Reims 1
Blagnac 0
Niort 1
Strasbourg 4
Epinal 2
Viry-Chatillon 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 3
Fleury 91 2
Brest 0
Laval 1
Avranches 3
Lille 4
Excelsior 1
Blois Foot 41 1
Nantes 2
Lens 2
Metz 0
Rodeo 2
Bergerac 3
Marseille 2
Toulouse 1
Montpellier 0
Lyon 5
Chambly 2
Luneville 0
AC Ajaccio 1
Monaco 2
1/16-finals
Angers 3
Caen 1
Nancy 0
Borgo 2
Lorient 3
Chateauroux 2
Dijon 1
Bordeaux 2
Frejus Saint Raphael 1
Prix les Mezieres 0
St Etienne 0
Auxerre 3
Quevilly 3
Athletico Marseille 0
Les Herbiers 1
Guingamp 2
PSG 4
Rennes 0
Sarreguemines 0
Niort 3
Strasbourg 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 0
Fleury 91 0
Avranches 1
Lille 1
Nantes 0
Lens 0
Bergerac 2
Marseille 2
Lyon 1
Chambly 4
Monaco 5
1/8-finals
Angers 1
Borgo 0
Lorient 1
Bordeaux 2
Frejus Saint Raphael 2
Auxerre 0
Quevilly 1
Guingamp 2
PSG 2
Niort 0
Strasbourg 1
Avranches 2
Lille 2
Bergerac 1
Marseille 3
Monaco 4
Quarter-finals
Angers 2
Bordeaux 1
Frejus Saint Raphael 0
Guingamp 1
PSG 4
Avranches 0
Lille 1
Monaco 2
Semi-finals
Angers 2
Guingamp 0
PSG 5
Monaco 0
Final
Angers 0
PSG 1
