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Sarriana vs Gimnastica Segoviana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Claveria M.
15'
Freire A.
75' Event
Dominguez J.

AI Match Summary

Gimnastica Segoviana in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnastica Segoviana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Sarriana
15%
Draws
37%
Gimnastica Segoviana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarriana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sarriana lately — more wins on the board than Gimnastica Segoviana.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Sarriana Clean Sheet 68%
Gimnastica Segoviana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarriana Gimnastica Segoviana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Sarriana vs Gimnastica Segoviana
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Gimnastica Segoviana vs Sarriana
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarriana Compare

Top Goalscorer Claveria M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Gimnastica Segoviana Compare

Top Goalscorer Dominguez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarriana 41 / 100
Gimnastica Segoviana 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarriana Gimnastica Segoviana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarriana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sarriana scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Gimnastica Segoviana conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Sarriana has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sarriana VS Gimnastica Segoviana
1.71 Goals Scored 1
1.57 Goals Conceded 1
86% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarriana

(Home)
04 Oct
Somozas
2 : 1
Sarriana
26 Sept
Sarriana
3 : 2
Gran Pena
20 Sept
Alondras
2 : 0
Sarriana
13 Sept
Sarriana
2 : 0
Viveiro
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3
Sarriana
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Gimnastica Segoviana

(Away)
03 Oct
Guadalajara
3 : 3
Gimnastica Segoviana
26 Sept
Gimnastica Segoviana
2 : 0
San Sebastian Reyes
20 Sept
RSD Alcala
5 : 2
Gimnastica Segoviana
13 Sept
Gimnastica Segoviana
1 : 2
Conquense
06 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 3
Gimnastica Segoviana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 34 20 9 5 59:22 69
2 Real Oviedo B 34 16 10 8 50:35 58
3 Numancia 34 15 11 8 46:31 56
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 40:34 55
5 Coruxo FC 34 15 7 12 46:37 52
6 Gimnastica Segoviana 34 14 9 11 37:36 51
7 Real Avila 34 14 8 12 48:52 50
8 Salamanca CF UDS 34 14 8 12 43:36 50
9 Rayo Cantabria 34 11 15 8 63:50 48
10 Bergantinos 34 13 9 12 44:37 48
11 Atletico Astorga 34 12 9 13 41:43 45
12 Marino De Luanco 34 11 12 11 31:26 45
13 Valladolid Promesas 34 12 9 13 59:58 45
14 Langreo 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
15 Sarriana 34 11 7 16 42:42 40
16 Burgos CF B 34 8 12 14 38:55 36
17 Lealtad 34 7 7 20 31:54 28
18 UD Samano 34 3 6 25 23:87 15
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)