Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sasel vs Duneberg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Dreca B.
16' Event
Dreca B.
32' Event
Jeske T.

AI Match Summary

Sasel in this Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sasel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Sasel
15%
Draws
12%
Duneberg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sasel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Sasel have won more games recently than Duneberg.
  • Sasel are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Sasel Clean Sheet 10%
Duneberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sasel Duneberg
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 19 5
Draws 9 1
Losses 11 24
Goals Scored 2.72 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.18 4.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs Duneberg
5:0
Sep 30, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Duneberg vs Sasel
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sasel Compare

Top Goalscorer Dreca B.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Jeske T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Duneberg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sasel 83 / 100
Duneberg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sasel Duneberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sasel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sasel scored in 87% of their last 39 games.

Duneberg let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Duneberg's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sasel VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sasel

(Home)
16 Aug
Sasel
3 : 1
Harksheide
01 Aug
Altona
0 : 2
Sasel
26 Jul
Sasel
0 : 4
TSV Buchholz 08
10 Jul
Eimsbutteler
6 : 4
Sasel
15 May
Eimsbutteler
4 : 0
Sasel
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Duneberg

(Away)
17 May
ETSV Hamburg
7 : 1
Duneberg
11 May
Duneberg
0 : 9
Niendorfer TSV
26 Apr
Dassendorf
4 : 0
Duneberg
20 Apr
Duneberg
1 : 6
Harksheide
16 Apr
Duneberg
2 : 2
Suderelbe
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altona 34 25 7 2 91:29 82
2 Dassendorf 34 24 5 5 96:36 77
3 ETSV Hamburg 34 18 9 7 74:43 63
4 Niendorfer TSV 34 18 8 8 86:51 62
5 HEBC Hamburg 34 16 11 7 75:52 59
6 Sasel 34 16 8 10 76:54 56
7 Paloma 34 14 8 12 58:56 50
8 SC Victoria Hamburg 34 14 7 13 79:67 49
9 Suderelbe 34 13 9 12 85:61 48
10 TSV Buchholz 08 34 13 7 14 65:65 46
11 Harksheide 34 12 10 12 61:63 46
12 Halstenbek-Rellingen 34 11 9 14 70:70 42
13 TSV Concordia 34 11 6 17 71:91 39
14 Alsterbruder 34 10 4 20 70:91 34
15 Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 34 9 5 20 57:82 32
16 Rugenbergen 34 9 3 22 46:84 30
17 Tornesch 34 6 6 22 43:106 24
18 Duneberg 34 5 2 27 39:141 17
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 (Play Offs)