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Sasel vs Pinneberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sasel host Pinneberg in the Oberliga Hamburg. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Sasel have averaged 2.47 scored and 2.38 conceded recently, against Pinneberg's 1.18 scored and 5.39 conceded. Head-to-head, Sasel have won 3 to Pinneberg's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 5, 2019, ending 1:11. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 2.00) point toward Sasel. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Sasel
15%
Draws
64%
Pinneberg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pinneberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Sasel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sasel a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sasel Clean Sheet 10%
Pinneberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sasel Pinneberg
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 13 5
Draws 6 1
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 2.47 1.18
Goals Conceded 2.38 5.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2019 Oberliga Hamburg
Pinneberg vs Sasel
1:11
Oct 28, 2018 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs Pinneberg
6:0
Mar 7, 2018 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs Pinneberg
1:2
Aug 13, 2017 Oberliga Hamburg
Pinneberg vs Sasel
0:1
May 25, 2012 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs Pinneberg
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sasel 40 / 100
Pinneberg 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sasel Pinneberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sasel's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Pinneberg conceded in 96% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Pinneberg registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sasel VS Pinneberg
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sasel

(Home)
02 Oct
SC Victoria Hamburg
2 : 2
Sasel
27 Sept
Sasel
0 : 1
Vorwarts-Wacker
20 Sept
HT 16
2 : 0
Sasel
13 Sept
Sasel
0 : 3
Niendorfer TSV
06 Sept
Paloma
3 : 2
Sasel
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Pinneberg

(Away)
04 Oct
Pinneberg
2 : 1
Suderelbe
27 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
1 : 0
Pinneberg
18 Sept
SC Victoria Hamburg
3 : 1
Pinneberg
13 Sept
Pinneberg
1 : 2
Vorwarts-Wacker
06 Sept
HT 16
5 : 1
Pinneberg
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