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Sasso Marconi vs Cittadella Vis Modena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Oro R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sasso Marconi
20%
Draws
51%
Cittadella Vis Modena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cittadella Vis Modena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Cittadella Vis Modena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cittadella Vis Modena a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Cittadella Vis Modena arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cittadella Vis Modena, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Sasso Marconi Clean Sheet 19%
Cittadella Vis Modena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sasso Marconi Cittadella Vis Modena
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.1 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.62 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie D
Sasso Marconi vs Cittadella Vis Modena
1:0
Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Sasso Marconi
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Cittadella Vis Modena
0:0
Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Cittadella Vis Modena
0:2
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Sasso Marconi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sasso Marconi Compare

Top Goalscorer Oro R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Cittadella Vis Modena Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sasso Marconi 28 / 100
Cittadella Vis Modena 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sasso Marconi Cittadella Vis Modena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cittadella Vis Modena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sasso Marconi scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Cittadella Vis Modena let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Sasso Marconi stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sasso Marconi VS Cittadella Vis Modena
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sasso Marconi

(Home)
07 Oct
Sasso Marconi
1 : 0
Cittadella Vis Modena
04 Oct
Sasso Marconi
0 : 2
Scandicci
27 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 1
Sasso Marconi
20 Sept
Sasso Marconi
0 : 1
Prato
16 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 2
Sasso Marconi
Page 1 of 6

Cittadella Vis Modena

(Away)
07 Oct
Sasso Marconi
1 : 0
Cittadella Vis Modena
04 Oct
US Pontedera
0 : 3
Cittadella Vis Modena
27 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 1
Correggese
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0
Varese FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
AS Biellese 3
Alessandria 2
Valenzana 3
Saluzzo 2
Villa Valle 2
Tritium 1
Brusaporto 2
Chievo 1
Real Calepina 0
AC Leon 2
Varese FC 2
Pro Patria 5
Pavia 1
Sant'Angelo 3
Sanremese 5
Millesimo 2
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Brian Lignano 1
Este 0
Caldiero Terme 2
Mestre 0
Schio 2
Clodiense 2
Campodarsego 1
Lentigione 1
Piacenza 3
Sasso Marconi 1
Cittadella Vis Modena 0
Sestri Levante 1
Pistoiese 0
Seravezza Pozzi 1
Lucchese 2
Terranuova Traiana 0
Prato 3
Ternana -
Recanatese -
Ancona 2
Fossombrone 1
Flaminia 0
Siena 3
Unipomezia 3
Teramo 4
Latte Dolce 3
Sarrabus Ogliastra 0
Aquila Calcio 5
Termoli 2
Paganese 1
Real Normanna 2
Certosa V. Campagnano 4
Albalonga 1
Nocerina 1
Turris 2
Fidelis Andria 2
Bisceglie 1
Virtus Francavilla 3
Gravina 0
Lamezia 2
Gelbison 3
Igea Virtus 3
Reggina 2
Calcio Avola 0
ASD Modica Calcio 4
Trapani 1
Licata 2
1/16-finals
AS Biellese -
Valenzana -
Villa Valle -
Brusaporto -
AC Leon -
Pro Patria -
Sant'Angelo -
Sanremese -
Cjarlins Muzane -
Caldiero Terme -
Schio -
Clodiense -
Piacenza -
Sasso Marconi -
Sestri Levante -
Lucchese -
Prato -
TBD -
Ancona -
Siena -
Teramo -
Latte Dolce -
Aquila Calcio -
Real Normanna -
Certosa V. Campagnano -
Turris -
Fidelis Andria -
Virtus Francavilla -
Gelbison -
Igea Virtus -
ASD Modica Calcio -
Licata -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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Final
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