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Sasso Marconi vs Correggese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Formato A.
54' Event
Taparelli T.
86'
Ferraresi S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Sasso Marconi and Correggese finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Correggese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sasso Marconi
20%
Draws
40%
Correggese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Sasso Marconi haven't matched Correggese's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sasso Marconi a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Correggese have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sasso Marconi Clean Sheet 68%
Correggese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sasso Marconi Correggese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Correggese
0:2
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Correggese vs Sasso Marconi
1:1
May 4, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Correggese
0:3
Dec 12, 2021 Serie D - Group D
Correggese vs Sasso Marconi
3:2
Feb 21, 2021 Serie D - Group D
Correggese vs Sasso Marconi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sasso Marconi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Correggese Compare

Top Goalscorer Formato A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taparelli T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sasso Marconi 50 / 100
Correggese 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sasso Marconi Correggese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sasso Marconi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sasso Marconi found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Correggese has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sasso Marconi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sasso Marconi VS Correggese
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sasso Marconi

(Home)
20 Sept
Sasso Marconi
0 : 1
Prato
16 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 2
Sasso Marconi
13 Sept
Sasso Marconi
1 : 3
San Donato Tavarnelle
06 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 2
Sasso Marconi
10 May
Imolese
0 : 2
Sasso Marconi
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Correggese

(Away)
20 Sept
Correggese
1 : 3
USD Casatese
16 Sept
Correggese
2 : 1
Varesina
12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1
Correggese
06 Sept
Correggese
0 : 3
Sant'Angelo
03 May
Correggese
1 : 0
Pro Sesto
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)