Sport Picks
Match Events
52'
52'
Ribello F.
53'
53'
Pampaloni T.
88'
88'
Manara N.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Sasso Marconi haven't matched Corticella's recent run of results.
- Model gives Sasso Marconi a 40% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Sasso Marconi Clean Sheet 68%
Corticella Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sasso Marconi | Corticella |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 18 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.09 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 11, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Corticella vs Sasso Marconi
4:1
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Corticella
1:1
Jun 13, 2021 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Corticella
2:2
Feb 3, 2021 Serie D - Group D
Corticella vs Sasso Marconi
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sasso Marconi Compare
Top Goalscorer Pampaloni T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46
Corticella Compare
Top Goalscorer Manara N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sasso Marconi 95 / 100
Corticella 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sasso Marconi Corticella
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sasso Marconi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Corticella's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.
Sasso Marconi scored in 76% of their last 33 games.
Away concern: Corticella has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sasso Marconi VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sasso Marconi
(Home) 27 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 1 Sasso Marconi
20 Sept
Sasso Marconi
0 : 1 Prato
16 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 2 Sasso Marconi
13 Sept
Sasso Marconi
1 : 3 San Donato Tavarnelle
06 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 2 Sasso Marconi
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Sasso Marconi
0 : 1 Prato
13 Sept
Sasso Marconi
1 : 3 San Donato Tavarnelle
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1 Imolese
19 Apr
Sasso Marconi
2 : 1 Rovato Vertovese
02 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 2 Lentigione
Page 1 of 3
Corticella
(Away) 18 May
Corticella
0 : 2 Sammaurese
11 May
Corticella
4 : 1 Sasso Marconi
27 Apr
Pistoiese
5 : 0 Corticella
17 Apr
Corticella
0 : 3 Prato
13 Apr
Tuttocuoio
1 : 1 Corticella
Page 1 of 6
27 Apr
Pistoiese
5 : 0 Corticella
13 Apr
Tuttocuoio
1 : 1 Corticella
30 Mar
Ravenna
5 : 2 Corticella
09 Mar
SCD Progresso
4 : 0 Corticella
23 Feb
Cittadella Vis Modena
1 : 0 Corticella
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forli FC | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 75:24 | 84 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 65:27 | 74 |
| 3 | Lentigione | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 48:27 | 65 |
| 4 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 54:27 | 63 |
| 5 | Pistoiese | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 45:23 | 61 |
| 6 | Imolese | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 52:44 | 53 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 48:40 | 47 |
| 8 | Piacenza | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38:40 | 42 |
| 9 | Prato | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 34:38 | 42 |
| 10 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 32:43 | 42 |
| 11 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 24:32 | 41 |
| 12 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:51 | 38 |
| 13 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 39:51 | 37 |
| 14 | Corticella | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 37:65 | 36 |
| 15 | Sammaurese | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 27:37 | 31 |
| 16 | Fiorenzuola | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 21:46 | 26 |
| 17 | Zenith Prato | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 36:51 | 23 |
| 18 | United Riccione | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 22:69 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Out)
