Sport Picks
Match Events
30'
30'
Rizzi M.
52'
52'
Marra N.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group D game between Sasso Marconi and Imolese finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sasso Marconi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sasso Marconi come out ahead of Imolese on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Sasso Marconi's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sasso Marconi Clean Sheet 20%
Imolese Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sasso Marconi | Imolese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Sasso Marconi
0:2
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Imolese
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Sasso Marconi
1:3
Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Sasso Marconi
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Imolese
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sasso Marconi Compare
Top Goalscorer Marra N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Imolese Compare
Top Goalscorer Rizzi M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sasso Marconi 42 / 100
Imolese 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sasso Marconi Imolese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sasso Marconi found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Imolese conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: Sasso Marconi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sasso Marconi VS Imolese
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sasso Marconi
(Home) 10 May
Imolese
0 : 2 Sasso Marconi
03 May
SCD Progresso
4 : 1 Sasso Marconi
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1 Imolese
19 Apr
Sasso Marconi
2 : 1 Rovato Vertovese
12 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 0 Sasso Marconi
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1 Imolese
19 Apr
Sasso Marconi
2 : 1 Rovato Vertovese
02 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 2 Lentigione
22 Mar
Sasso Marconi
2 : 1 Tuttocuoio
01 Mar
Sasso Marconi
0 : 2 Correggese
Page 1 of 3
Imolese
(Away) 10 May
Imolese
0 : 2 Sasso Marconi
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0 Rovato Vertovese
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1 Imolese
19 Apr
Imolese
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
12 Apr
Tropical Coriano
2 : 0 Imolese
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1 Imolese
12 Apr
Tropical Coriano
2 : 0 Imolese
29 Mar
Pro Sesto
2 : 4 Imolese
15 Mar
Sant'Angelo
2 : 0 Imolese
22 Feb
Lentigione
4 : 0 Imolese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)
