Sport Picks
Sasso Marconi vs Lentigione Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 
Match Events
35'
35'
Gattor G.
82'
82'
Nanni L.
88'
88'
Cellai B.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Sasso Marconi and Lentigione finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lentigione.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
20%
73%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lentigione
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Lentigione carry the better recent record into this one.
- Lentigione are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Lentigione have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Sasso Marconi Clean Sheet 16%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sasso Marconi | Lentigione |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 20 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 0.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Lentigione
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Sasso Marconi
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Lentigione
1:2
Sep 22, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Sasso Marconi
1:1
Feb 8, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Lentigione
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sasso Marconi Compare
Top Goalscorer Gattor G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Lentigione Compare
Top Goalscorer Nanni L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cellai B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sasso Marconi 28 / 100
Lentigione 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sasso Marconi Lentigione
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lentigione Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sasso Marconi's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Lentigione conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Sasso Marconi remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sasso Marconi VS Lentigione
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sasso Marconi
(Home) 04 Oct
Sasso Marconi
0 : 2 Scandicci
27 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 1 Sasso Marconi
20 Sept
Sasso Marconi
0 : 1 Prato
16 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 2 Sasso Marconi
13 Sept
Sasso Marconi
1 : 3 San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Sasso Marconi
0 : 2 Scandicci
20 Sept
Sasso Marconi
0 : 1 Prato
13 Sept
Sasso Marconi
1 : 3 San Donato Tavarnelle
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1 Imolese
19 Apr
Sasso Marconi
2 : 1 Rovato Vertovese
Page 1 of 3
Lentigione
(Away) 04 Oct
Oltrepo
1 : 2 Lentigione
27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1 Lentigione
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2 Lentigione
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0 Castellanzese
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Oltrepo
1 : 2 Lentigione
27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1 Lentigione
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2 Lentigione
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3 Lentigione
26 Apr
Trevigliese
1 : 2 Lentigione
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)
