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Sasso Marconi vs Lentigione

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Gattor G.
82' Event
Nanni L.
88' Event
Cellai B.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D game between Sasso Marconi and Lentigione finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lentigione.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sasso Marconi
40%
Draws
29%
Lentigione
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Lentigione carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lentigione have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sasso Marconi Clean Sheet 16%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sasso Marconi Lentigione
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Lentigione
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Sasso Marconi
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Lentigione
1:2
Sep 22, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Sasso Marconi
1:1
Feb 8, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Lentigione
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sasso Marconi Compare

Top Goalscorer Gattor G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Lentigione Compare

Top Goalscorer Nanni L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cellai B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sasso Marconi 31 / 100
Lentigione 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sasso Marconi Lentigione

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sasso Marconi's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Sasso Marconi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Lentigione conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sasso Marconi VS Lentigione
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desenzano Calvina34238360:2177
2Lentigione34227551:2373
3Pistoiese342011361:2271
4Piacenza34197860:3564
5Pro Palazzolo34169944:3157
6Pro Sesto341510945:3055
7Cittadella Vis Modena341510935:2955
8Rovato Vertovese3414101035:2952
9Sangiuliano City341481241:4547
10SCD Progresso341091538:4239
11Sant'Angelo341091538:5139
12Correggese349121335:3639
13Crema349111435:4738
14Imolese348101628:4734
15Sasso Marconi34871933:4931
16Tropical Coriano347101729:4531
17Trevigliese34582131:6223
18Tuttocuoio34082618:738