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Sasso Marconi vs Lucchese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Suliani D.
65' Event
Marra N.
74'

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E game between Sasso Marconi and Lucchese finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sasso Marconi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sasso Marconi
20%
Draws
47%
Lucchese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lucchese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sasso Marconi haven't matched Lucchese's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sasso Marconi Clean Sheet 10%
Lucchese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sasso Marconi Lucchese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Sasso Marconi vs Lucchese
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sasso Marconi Compare

Top Goalscorer Suliani D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marra N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Lucchese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sasso Marconi 34 / 100
Lucchese 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sasso Marconi Lucchese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lucchese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sasso Marconi found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Lucchese let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sasso Marconi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sasso Marconi VS Lucchese
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sasso Marconi

(Home)
18 Oct
Sasso Marconi
2 : 0
Lucchese
11 Oct
Mezzolara
2 : 2
Sasso Marconi
07 Oct
Sasso Marconi
1 : 0
Cittadella Vis Modena
04 Oct
Sasso Marconi
0 : 2
Scandicci
27 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 1
Sasso Marconi
Page 1 of 6

Lucchese

(Away)
18 Oct
Sasso Marconi
2 : 0
Lucchese
11 Oct
Lucchese
2 : 2
Ternana
07 Oct
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 2
Lucchese
04 Oct
Grassina
3 : 6
Lucchese
27 Sept
Lucchese
3 : 2
Siena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prato 8 5 3 0 12:5 18
2 Follonica Gavorrano 8 4 4 0 11:5 16
3 Seravezza Pozzi 8 4 2 2 15:5 14
4 Lucchese 8 4 2 2 18:15 14
5 Siena 8 4 1 3 15:10 13
6 Tau 8 4 1 3 11:14 13
7 Ternana 8 3 3 2 13:8 12
8 Scandicci 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
9 Terranuova Traiana 8 3 3 2 13:10 12
10 Flaminia 8 3 3 2 10:11 12
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 8 3 2 3 9:10 11
12 Montevarchi 8 3 1 4 12:12 10
13 Mezzolara 8 1 6 1 7:9 9
14 Rondinella 8 2 3 3 6:10 9
15 Sasso Marconi 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
16 Grassina 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
17 SCD Progresso 8 1 0 7 4:17 3
18 Ghiviborgo 8 0 2 6 6:16 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)