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Sasso Marconi vs Pro Palazzolo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Verzeletti M.
60' Event
Capone A.
70' Event
Mattioli A.

AI Match Summary

Pro Palazzolo in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pro Palazzolo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sasso Marconi
15%
Draws
48%
Pro Palazzolo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pro Palazzolo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Sasso Marconi haven't matched Pro Palazzolo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sasso Marconi a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sasso Marconi Clean Sheet 17%
Pro Palazzolo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sasso Marconi Pro Palazzolo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Pro Palazzolo
2:3
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Pro Palazzolo vs Sasso Marconi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sasso Marconi Compare

Top Goalscorer Armaroli G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Pro Palazzolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Verzeletti M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Capone A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sasso Marconi 36 / 100
Pro Palazzolo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sasso Marconi Pro Palazzolo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sasso Marconi scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Pro Palazzolo conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Sasso Marconi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sasso Marconi VS Pro Palazzolo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sasso Marconi

(Home)
16 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 2
Sasso Marconi
13 Sept
Sasso Marconi
1 : 3
San Donato Tavarnelle
06 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 2
Sasso Marconi
10 May
Imolese
0 : 2
Sasso Marconi
03 May
SCD Progresso
4 : 1
Sasso Marconi
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Pro Palazzolo

(Away)
16 Sept
Fiorenzuola
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
12 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
2 : 0
AC Milan U23
06 Sept
Real Calepina
5 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
19 Aug
Varese FC
3 : 2
Pro Palazzolo
05 Aug
Pro Palazzolo
1 : 0
Brusaporto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)