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Sassuolo vs Catanzaro

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia 2025/2026 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Doig J.
Assist: Berardi D.
57'
Sub
Liberali M. In: D'Alessandro M.
Out: Liberali M.
57'
Sub
Petriccione J. In: Pittarello F.
Out: Petriccione J.

AI Match Summary

The Coppa Italia 2025/2026 game between Sassuolo and Catanzaro finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sassuolo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sassuolo
39%
Draws
30%
Catanzaro
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Sassuolo haven't matched Catanzaro's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sassuolo Clean Sheet 15%
Catanzaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sassuolo Catanzaro
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2025 Coppa Italia
Sassuolo vs Catanzaro
1:0
May 9, 2025 Serie B
Sassuolo vs Catanzaro
0:2
Aug 18, 2024 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Sassuolo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sassuolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Doig J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Catanzaro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sassuolo 31 / 100
Catanzaro 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sassuolo Catanzaro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sassuolo found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Catanzaro has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Sassuolo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sassuolo VS Catanzaro
1 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Bologna-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Parma-
TBD-
Pescara1
Rimini0
Spezia-
TBD-
TBD-
Sampdoria-
Lazio-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
AC Milan-
TBD-
TBD-
Bari-
Lecce-
TBD-
TBD-
Juve Stabia-
Atalanta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Empoli-
TBD-
TBD-
Reggiana-
Genoa-
TBD-
Padova0
Vicenza2
Juventus-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Udinese-
TBD-
TBD-
Carrarese-
Cremonese-
TBD-
TBD-
Palermo-
Inter-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Audace Cerignola1
Avellino0
Verona-
TBD-
Venezia-
TBD-
TBD-
Mantova-
AS Roma-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Torino-
TBD-
TBD-
Modena-
Pisa-
TBD-
TBD-
Cesena-
Napoli-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Monza-
TBD-
TBD-
Frosinone-
Cagliari-
TBD-
Entella4
Ternana0
Fiorentina-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Como-
TBD-
TBD-
Sudtirol-
Sassuolo-
TBD-
TBD-
Catanzaro-
1/32-finals
Bologna-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Parma2
Pescara0
Spezia2
Sampdoria1
Lazio-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
AC Milan2
Bari0
Lecce2
Juve Stabia0
Atalanta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Empoli2
Reggiana1
Genoa3
Vicenza0
Juventus-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Udinese2
Carrarese0
Cremonese0
Palermo1
Inter-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Audace Cerignola1
Verona2
Venezia4
Mantova0
AS Roma-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Torino1
Modena0
Pisa1
Cesena0
Napoli-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Monza0
Frosinone1
Cagliari2
Entella1
Fiorentina-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Como3
Sudtirol1
Sassuolo1
Catanzaro0
1/16-finals
Bologna-
TBD-
Parma3
Spezia2
Lazio-
TBD-
AC Milan3
Lecce0
Atalanta-
TBD-
Empoli1
Genoa3
Juventus-
TBD-
Udinese2
Palermo1
Inter-
TBD-
Verona0
Venezia1
AS Roma-
TBD-
Torino1
Pisa0
Napoli-
TBD-
Frosinone1
Cagliari4
Fiorentina-
TBD-
Como3
Sassuolo0
1/8-finals
Bologna2
Parma1
Lazio1
AC Milan0
Atalanta4
Genoa0
Juventus2
Udinese0
Inter5
Venezia1
AS Roma2
Torino3
Napoli2
Cagliari1
Fiorentina1
Como3
Quarter-finals
Bologna1
Lazio2
Atalanta3
Juventus0
Inter2
Torino1
Napoli1
Como2
Semi-finals
Lazio4
Atalanta3
Inter3
Como2
Final
Lazio0
Inter2