Sport Picks

Italy

Coppa Italia 2025/2026 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia

Sassuolo

1 - 0

Catanzaro

Our Tip

Match Events

32'

Doig J.

Assist: Berardi D.

57'

Sub

Liberali M. In: D'Alessandro M.

Out: Liberali M.

57'

Sub

Petriccione J. In: Pittarello F.

Out: Petriccione J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Sassuolo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Sassuolo

15%

Draws

42%

Catanzaro

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sassuolo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Sassuolo haven't matched Catanzaro's recent run of results.
42% — that's where the model lands on Sassuolo taking it.
Catanzaro arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Catanzaro, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Sassuolo Clean Sheet 15%

Catanzaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sassuolo	Catanzaro
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	11	13
Draws	3	7
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	1.29	1.9
Goals Conceded	1.39	1.43
Expected Goals (xG)	1.31	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2025 Coppa Italia

Sassuolo vs Catanzaro

1:0

May 9, 2025 Serie B

Sassuolo vs Catanzaro

0:2

Aug 18, 2024 Serie B

Catanzaro vs Sassuolo

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sassuolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Doig J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.01

Avg xA / game 0.66

Catanzaro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42

Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sassuolo 41 / 100

Catanzaro 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sassuolo Catanzaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sassuolo scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Catanzaro conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Catanzaro has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sassuolo VS Catanzaro

1.25 Goals Scored 1.63

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38

63% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sassuolo

(Home)

29 Aug

Sassuolo

2 : 1

Torino

23 Aug

Atalanta

2 : 1

Sassuolo

17 Aug

Sassuolo

3 : 0

Cesena

08 Aug

Augsburg

3 : 2

Sassuolo

05 Aug

Sassuolo

1 : 4

Celta Vigo

Page 1 of 6

Catanzaro

(Away)

30 Aug

Pisa

2 : 1

Catanzaro

21 Aug

Vicenza

3 : 2

Catanzaro

15 Aug

Catanzaro

2 : 3

Sudtirol

05 Aug

Catanzaro

3 : 0

Giugliano

29 Jul

Catanzaro

3 : 1

Paradiso

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Bologna -

TBD -

Parma -

TBD -

Pescara 1

Rimini 0

Spezia -

TBD -

Sampdoria -

Lazio -

TBD -

AC Milan -

TBD -

Bari -

Lecce -

TBD -

Juve Stabia -

Atalanta -

TBD -

Empoli -

TBD -

Reggiana -

Genoa -

TBD -

Padova 0

Vicenza 2

Juventus -

TBD -

Udinese -

TBD -

Carrarese -

Cremonese -

TBD -

Palermo -

Inter -

TBD -

Audace Cerignola 1

Avellino 0

Verona -

TBD -

Venezia -

TBD -

Mantova -

AS Roma -

TBD -

Torino -

TBD -

Modena -

Pisa -

TBD -

Cesena -

Napoli -

TBD -

Monza -

TBD -

Frosinone -

Cagliari -

TBD -

Entella 4

Ternana 0

Fiorentina -

TBD -

Como -

TBD -

Sudtirol -

Sassuolo -

TBD -

Catanzaro -

1/32-finals

Bologna -

TBD -

Parma 2

Pescara 0

Spezia 2

Sampdoria 1

Lazio -

TBD -

AC Milan 2

Bari 0

Lecce 2

Juve Stabia 0

Atalanta -

TBD -

Empoli 2

Reggiana 1

Genoa 3

Vicenza 0

Juventus -

TBD -

Udinese 2

Carrarese 0

Cremonese 0

Palermo 1

Inter -

TBD -

Audace Cerignola 1

Verona 2

Venezia 4

Mantova 0

AS Roma -

TBD -

Torino 1

Modena 0

Pisa 1

Cesena 0

Napoli -

TBD -

Monza 0

Frosinone 1

Cagliari 2

Entella 1

Fiorentina -

TBD -

Como 3

Sudtirol 1

Sassuolo 1

Catanzaro 0

1/16-finals

Bologna -

TBD -

Parma 3

Spezia 2

Lazio -

TBD -

AC Milan 3

Lecce 0

Atalanta -

TBD -

Empoli 1

Genoa 3

Juventus -

TBD -

Udinese 2

Palermo 1

Inter -

TBD -

Verona 0

Venezia 1

AS Roma -

TBD -

Torino 1

Pisa 0

Napoli -

TBD -

Frosinone 1

Cagliari 4

Fiorentina -

TBD -

Como 3

Sassuolo 0

1/8-finals

Bologna 2

Parma 1

Lazio 1

AC Milan 0

Atalanta 4

Genoa 0

Juventus 2

Udinese 0

Inter 5

Venezia 1

AS Roma 2

Torino 3

Napoli 2

Cagliari 1

Fiorentina 1

Como 3

Quarter-finals

Bologna 1

Lazio 2

Atalanta 3

Juventus 0

Inter 2

Torino 1

Napoli 1

Como 2

Semi-finals

Lazio 4

Atalanta 3

Inter 3

Como 2

Final

Lazio 0

Inter 2

Sassuolo vs Catanzaro

Italy

Sassuolo

Catanzaro

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Sassuolo Compare

Catanzaro Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Sassuolo

Catanzaro

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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