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Sassuolo W vs AC Milan W

Italy Italy

Serie A Women 2025/2026 Stadio Enzo Ricci, Sassuolo
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Stokic S.
Assist: Soffia A.
56'
Sub
Fercocq H. In: Perselli M.
Out: Fercocq H.
61' Event
Stokic S.
Assist: Grimshaw C.

AI Match Summary

AC Milan W in this Serie A Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored AC Milan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Sassuolo W
15%
Draws
37%
AC Milan W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sassuolo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AC Milan W lately — more wins on the board than Sassuolo W.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sassuolo W Clean Sheet 14%
AC Milan W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sassuolo W AC Milan W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Serie A Women
Sassuolo W vs AC Milan W
0:3
Nov 23, 2025 Serie A Women
AC Milan W vs Sassuolo W
2:2
Aug 24, 2025 Serie A Cup Women
AC Milan W vs Sassuolo W
0:2
Feb 1, 2025 Serie A Women
Sassuolo W vs AC Milan W
2:3
Nov 3, 2024 Serie A Women
AC Milan W vs Sassuolo W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sassuolo W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

AC Milan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Stokic S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kyvag T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sassuolo W 31 / 100
AC Milan W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sassuolo W AC Milan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sassuolo W scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

AC Milan W let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Sassuolo W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sassuolo W VS AC Milan W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sassuolo W

(Home)
27 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 3
AS Roma W
20 Sept
Moncalieri W
1 : 2
Sassuolo W
13 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 7
AS Roma W
05 Sept
Sassuolo W
2 : 0
Ternana W
30 Aug
AS Roma W
0 : 1
Sassuolo W
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AC Milan W

(Away)
26 Sept
Como 1907 W
4 : 1
AC Milan W
06 Sept
Juventus W
1 : 0
AC Milan W
29 Aug
AC Milan W
2 : 1
Como 1907 W
22 Aug
AC Milan W
1 : 1
Como W
25 Jul
Zurich W
2 : 3
AC Milan W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 22 17 4 1 44:19 55
2 Inter W 22 13 5 4 49:26 44
3 Juventus W 22 11 6 5 33:19 39
4 Fiorentina W 22 10 6 6 33:30 36
5 Lazio W 22 10 3 9 31:30 33
6 AC Milan W 22 9 5 8 31:26 32
7 Napoli W 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
8 Como W 22 8 6 8 24:22 30
9 Sassuolo W 22 4 6 12 17:34 18
10 Ternana W 22 4 5 13 19:40 17
11 Parma W 22 2 10 10 16:31 16
12 Genoa W 22 2 4 16 18:43 10
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)