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Sassuolo W vs AS Roma W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Women 2025/2026 Stadio Enzo Ricci, Sassuolo
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Brennskag-Dorsin F.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Corelli A. In: Babajide R.
Out: Corelli A.
54'
Sub
Thogersen F. In: Dragoni G.
Out: Thogersen F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Women 2025/2026 game between Sassuolo W and AS Roma W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Roma W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sassuolo W
15%
Draws
46%
AS Roma W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AS Roma W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Roma W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans AS Roma W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AS Roma W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sassuolo W Clean Sheet 12%
AS Roma W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sassuolo W AS Roma W
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 24
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 0.97 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie A Women
Sassuolo W vs AS Roma W
1:3
Sep 13, 2026 Serie A Cup Women
Sassuolo W vs AS Roma W
1:7
Aug 30, 2026 Serie A Cup Women
AS Roma W vs Sassuolo W
0:1
May 10, 2026 Serie A Women
Sassuolo W vs AS Roma W
0:3
Jan 18, 2026 Serie A Women
AS Roma W vs Sassuolo W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sassuolo W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

AS Roma W Compare

Top Goalscorer Galli G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pilgrim A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sassuolo W 11 / 100
AS Roma W 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sassuolo W AS Roma W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Roma W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Sassuolo W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: AS Roma W conceded in 53% of 34 recent games.

Sassuolo W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sassuolo W VS AS Roma W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sassuolo W

(Home)
03 Oct
Fiorentina W
2 : 0
Sassuolo W
27 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 3
AS Roma W
20 Sept
Moncalieri W
1 : 2
Sassuolo W
13 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 7
AS Roma W
05 Sept
Sassuolo W
2 : 0
Ternana W
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AS Roma W

(Away)
03 Oct
AS Roma W
3 : 1
Lazio W
30 Sept
AS Roma W
0 : 6
Barcelona W
27 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 3
AS Roma W
23 Sept
Leuven W
0 : 0
AS Roma W
19 Sept
Juventus W
3 : 2
AS Roma W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 22 17 4 1 44:19 55
2 Inter W 22 13 5 4 49:26 44
3 Juventus W 22 11 6 5 33:19 39
4 Fiorentina W 22 10 6 6 33:30 36
5 Lazio W 22 10 3 9 31:30 33
6 AC Milan W 22 9 5 8 31:26 32
7 Napoli W 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
8 Como W 22 8 6 8 24:22 30
9 Sassuolo W 22 4 6 12 17:34 18
10 Ternana W 22 4 5 13 19:40 17
11 Parma W 22 2 10 10 16:31 16
12 Genoa W 22 2 4 16 18:43 10
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)