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SAT Tirur vs Chanmari

India India

I-League 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Lalrinzuala M.
32' Event
Lalruatsanga J.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Lalremtluanga E.

AI Match Summary

The I-League 3 2024/2025 game between SAT Tirur and Chanmari finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chanmari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
SAT Tirur
20%
Draws
29%
Chanmari
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SAT Tirur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • SAT Tirur haven't matched Chanmari's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on SAT Tirur taking it.
  • Regular I-League 3 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Chanmari have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
SAT Tirur Clean Sheet 10%
Chanmari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SAT Tirur Chanmari
Matches Played 24 31
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2025 I-League 2
SAT Tirur vs Chanmari
1:1
Feb 20, 2025 I-League 2
Chanmari vs SAT Tirur
3:0
Oct 3, 2024 I-League 3
SAT Tirur vs Chanmari
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SAT Tirur Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Chanmari Compare

Top Goalscorer Lalrinzuala M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lalremtluanga E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SAT Tirur 38 / 100
Chanmari 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SAT Tirur Chanmari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAT Tirur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SAT Tirur scored in 83% of their last 24 games.

Defensive concern: Chanmari conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

SAT Tirur went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SAT Tirur VS Chanmari
1.75 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SAT Tirur

(Home)
25 Apr
SC Goa
2 : 3
SAT Tirur
19 Apr
SAT Tirur
2 : 3
TRAU FC
11 Apr
SAT Tirur
1 : 2
Diamond Harbour
03 Apr
SAT Tirur
1 : 1
Chanmari
29 Mar
KLASA
0 : 1
SAT Tirur
Page 1 of 5

Chanmari

(Away)
19 May
Rajasthan United
2 : 2
Chanmari
16 May
Sreenidi Deccan
2 : 1
Chanmari
09 May
Chanmari
2 : 0
Dempo
02 May
Lajong
4 : 0
Chanmari
25 Apr
Chanmari
0 : 2
Diamond Harbour
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diamond Harbour 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
2 KLASA 4 2 1 1 4:4 7
3 Karbi Anglong 4 2 0 2 11:8 6
4 Sesa FA 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
5 Downtown Heroes 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - I-League 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - I-League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - I-League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chanmari 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 SAT Tirur 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
3 MYJ-GMSC 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
4 Abbas Union 4 0 2 2 4:6 2
5 Dalbir FA 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - I-League 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - I-League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - I-League 2 (Main)