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Saudi Arabia U17 vs Tajikistan U17

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 King Abdullah Sports City Hall Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Saudi Arabia U17 play Tajikistan U17 in the AFC Asian Cup U17. It looks like a close match. Recently, Saudi Arabia U17 averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Tajikistan U17 averaged 2.59 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. In past meetings, Saudi Arabia U17 won 2, Tajikistan U17 won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 12, 2026 ended 5:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Saudi Arabia U17 and 1.81 for Tajikistan U17. This points to a Saudi Arabia U17 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Saudi Arabia U17
28%
Draws
32%
Tajikistan U17
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Saudi Arabia U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Saudi Arabia U17 picked up more points recently compared to Tajikistan U17.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Saudi Arabia U17 Clean Sheet 11%
Tajikistan U17 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saudi Arabia U17 Tajikistan U17
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.81 2.59
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U17
Saudi Arabia U17 vs Tajikistan U17
5:5
Mar 24, 2025 Friendly International
Saudi Arabia U17 vs Tajikistan U17
1:1
Mar 21, 2025 Friendly International
Saudi Arabia U17 vs Tajikistan U17
2:0
Jun 19, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U17
Saudi Arabia U17 vs Tajikistan U17
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saudi Arabia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmed Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Shamrani A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Tajikistan U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Munavar A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Makhtumov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saudi Arabia U17 38 / 100
Tajikistan U17 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saudi Arabia U17 Tajikistan U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Saudi Arabia U17 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Saudi Arabia U17 attacking → ← attacking Tajikistan U17

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saudi Arabia U17 scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Tajikistan U17 let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Saudi Arabia U17 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tajikistan U17 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 49
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Saudi Arabia U17321011:57
2Tajikistan U1732108:57
3Thailand U1730122:61
4Myanmar U1730122:71
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Japan U1733008:39
2China U1731023:33
3Qatar U1731023:53
4Indonesia U1731022:53
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vietnam U1732015:66
2South Korea U1731205:25
3Yemen U1731113:34
4United Arab Emirates U1730125:71
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uzbekistan U1722005:06
2Australia U1721014:23
3India U1720020:70
4North Korea U1700000:00