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Saudi Arabia U23 vs Bahrain U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Arabian Gulf Cup U23
Saudi Arabia U23 Logo

Saudi Arabia U23

5 - 0
FT
Bahrain U23 Logo

Bahrain U23

Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Al Aliwa A.
55' Event
Abdullah M.
83' Event
Al Aliwa A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-0. The second leg ended 5-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Saudi Arabia U23
15%
Draws
0%
Bahrain U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saudi Arabia U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bahrain U23 haven't matched Saudi Arabia U23's recent run of results.
  • Saudi Arabia U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Saudi Arabia U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Saudi Arabia U23, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Saudi Arabia U23 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Saudi Arabia U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Bahrain U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saudi Arabia U23 Bahrain U23
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 2 7
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.58 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.08 0.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2025 Arabian Gulf Cup U23
Saudi Arabia U23 vs Bahrain U23
5:0
Nov 9, 2022 WAFF Championship U23
Saudi Arabia U23 vs Bahrain U23
2:0
Oct 8, 2021 WAFF Championship U23
Saudi Arabia U23 vs Bahrain U23
3:0
Nov 17, 2019 Friendly International
Bahrain U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23
1:2
Jul 19, 2017 AFC Asian Cup U23
Saudi Arabia U23 vs Bahrain U23
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saudi Arabia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Aliwa A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Abdullah M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.6
Avg xA / game 1.04

Bahrain U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.23

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saudi Arabia U23 95 / 100
Bahrain U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saudi Arabia U23 Bahrain U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saudi Arabia U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saudi Arabia U23 found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (33 games).

Bahrain U23 let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Bahrain U23's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Saudi Arabia U23 VS Bahrain U23
2 Goals Scored 0.33
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.17
63% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Saudi Arabia U23

(Home)
25 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 0
Saudi Arabia U23
22 Sept
South Korea U23
2 : 0
Saudi Arabia U23
18 Sept
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 0
Qatar U23
12 Jan
Saudi Arabia U23
0 : 1
Vietnam U23
09 Jan
Jordan U23
3 : 2
Saudi Arabia U23
Page 1 of 7

Bahrain U23

(Away)
11 Dec
Bahrain U23
1 : 2
Kuwait U23
08 Dec
Bahrain U23
0 : 1
Qatar U23
05 Dec
Saudi Arabia U23
5 : 0
Bahrain U23
18 Nov
Iran U23
1 : 0
Bahrain U23
15 Nov
Bahrain U23
0 : 2
Russia U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U23 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Qatar U23 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
3 Kuwait U23 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Bahrain U23 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - Arabian Gulf Cup U23 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 United Arab Emirates U23 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
3 Yemen U23 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Oman U23 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Arabian Gulf Cup U23 (Play Offs)