Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saudi Arabia U23 vs Japan U21

World World

Friendly International 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Hosoya M.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2022 game between Saudi Arabia U23 and Japan U21 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Japan U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Saudi Arabia U23
15%
Draws
57%
Japan U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Saudi Arabia U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Saudi Arabia U23 Clean Sheet 25%
Japan U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saudi Arabia U23 Japan U21
Matches Played 31 22
Wins 16 8
Draws 1 3
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2022 Friendly International
Saudi Arabia U23 vs Japan U21
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saudi Arabia U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Japan U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hosoya M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saudi Arabia U23 33 / 100
Japan U21 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saudi Arabia U23 Japan U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Saudi Arabia U23 scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Japan U21 let in goals in 77% of their last 22 matches.

Difficult form: Japan U21 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Saudi Arabia U23 VS Japan U21
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saudi Arabia U23

(Home)
25 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 0
Saudi Arabia U23
22 Sept
South Korea U23
2 : 0
Saudi Arabia U23
18 Sept
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 0
Qatar U23
12 Jan
Saudi Arabia U23
0 : 1
Vietnam U23
09 Jan
Jordan U23
3 : 2
Saudi Arabia U23
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Japan U21

(Away)
08 Jun
Japan U21
3 : 0
Ukraine U21
05 Jun
Uzbekistan U23
0 : 1
Japan U21
29 Mar
South Korea U23
2 : 1
Japan U21
27 Mar
Japan U21
0 : 2
USA U21
27 Mar
Belgium U21
3 : 2
Japan U21
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