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Saudi Arabia vs Iraq

World World

World Championship 2026 King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
Saudi Arabia Logo

Saudi Arabia

0 - 0
FT
Iraq Logo

Iraq

Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Doski M.
27'
Iqbal Z.
39'
Tambakti H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Saudi Arabia
20%
Draws
23%
Iraq
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saudi Arabia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Iraq haven't matched Saudi Arabia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Saudi Arabia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Saudi Arabia Clean Sheet 68%
Iraq Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saudi Arabia Iraq
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 15 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 Arabian Gulf Cup
Saudi Arabia vs Iraq
2:0
Oct 14, 2025 World Championship
Saudi Arabia vs Iraq
0:0
Dec 28, 2024 Arabian Gulf Cup
Iraq vs Saudi Arabia
1:3
Jan 9, 2023 Arabian Gulf Cup
Saudi Arabia vs Iraq
0:2
Oct 15, 2018 Friendly International
Saudi Arabia vs Iraq
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saudi Arabia 95 / 100
Iraq 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saudi Arabia Iraq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saudi Arabia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Saudi Arabia scored in 68% of their last 34 outings.

Iraq has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Saudi Arabia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Saudi Arabia VS Iraq
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Saudi Arabia

(Home)
29 Sept
Saudi Arabia
2 : 0
Iraq
26 Sept
Oman
0 : 3
Saudi Arabia
23 Sept
Saudi Arabia
1 : 0
Kuwait
27 Jun
Cape Verde
0 : 0
Saudi Arabia
21 Jun
Spain
4 : 0
Saudi Arabia
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Iraq

(Away)
29 Sept
Saudi Arabia
2 : 0
Iraq
26 Sept
Kuwait
2 : 3
Iraq
23 Sept
Iraq
1 : 1
Oman
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0
Iraq
22 Jun
France
3 : 0
Iraq
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 United Arab Emirates 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Oman 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fifth stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Iraq 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
3 Indonesia 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fifth stage)