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Saumur Olympique vs Les Herbiers

France France

National 2 - Group A
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saumur Olympique play Les Herbiers in the National 2 - Group A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Saumur Olympique averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. Les Herbiers averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Saumur Olympique won 1, Les Herbiers won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 24, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Saumur Olympique and 2.31 for Les Herbiers. This points to a Les Herbiers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Saumur Olympique
25%
Draws
45%
Les Herbiers
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Les Herbiers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Saumur Olympique picked up more points recently compared to Les Herbiers.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 2.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Saumur Olympique Clean Sheet 10%
Les Herbiers Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saumur Olympique Les Herbiers
Matches Played 32 39
Wins 8 18
Draws 10 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Saumur Olympique vs Les Herbiers
3:0
Aug 22, 2025 National 2 - Group A
Les Herbiers vs Saumur Olympique
1:0
May 10, 2025 National 2 - Group B
Saumur Olympique vs Les Herbiers
0:3
Mar 1, 2025 National 2 - Group B
Les Herbiers vs Saumur Olympique
6:0
Apr 26, 2024 National 2 - Group B
Saumur Olympique vs Les Herbiers
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saumur Olympique Compare

Top Goalscorer Epagna S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Itoua-Ngoua B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Les Herbiers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saumur Olympique 29 / 100
Les Herbiers 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saumur Olympique Les Herbiers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Les Herbiers or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Saumur Olympique attacking → ← attacking Les Herbiers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saumur Olympique scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Les Herbiers let in goals in 74% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Saumur Olympique went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Les Herbiers lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 63
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325