Sport Picks
Saumur Olympique vs Saint-Malo
France
National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 
Match Events
16'
16'
Barroug S.
77'
77'
Pascaud A.
AI Match Summary
Saint-Malo in this National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saint-Malo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint-Malo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Saint-Malo lately — more wins on the board than Saumur Olympique.
- 65% — that's where the model lands on Saint-Malo taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Saint-Malo have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Saumur Olympique Clean Sheet 23%
Saint-Malo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Saumur Olympique | Saint-Malo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 12 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.84 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Saint-Malo vs Saumur Olympique
2:1
Mar 14, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Saumur Olympique vs Saint-Malo
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Saint-Malo vs Saumur Olympique
3:0
Apr 19, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Saint-Malo vs Saumur Olympique
2:0
Dec 7, 2024 National 1 - Group B
Saumur Olympique vs Saint-Malo
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Saumur Olympique Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Saint-Malo Compare
Top Goalscorer Barroug S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pascaud A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Saumur Olympique 10 / 100
Saint-Malo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Saumur Olympique Saint-Malo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Saint-Malo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Saumur Olympique scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.
Saint-Malo has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Saumur Olympique remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Saumur Olympique VS Saint-Malo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Saumur Olympique
(Home) 03 Oct
Saint-Malo
2 : 1 Saumur Olympique
19 Sept
Saumur Olympique
1 : 4 Stade Briochin
12 Sept
Le Poire Sur Vie
2 : 0 Saumur Olympique
05 Sept
Saumur Olympique
2 : 1 Pontivy
29 Aug
Bayonne
1 : 0 Saumur Olympique
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Saumur Olympique
1 : 4 Stade Briochin
05 Sept
Saumur Olympique
2 : 1 Pontivy
22 Aug
Saumur Olympique
0 : 0 Tarbes
08 Aug
Saumur Olympique
0 : 0 Le Mans
09 May
Saumur Olympique
0 : 0 Montlouis
Page 1 of 3
Saint-Malo
(Away) 03 Oct
Saint-Malo
2 : 1 Saumur Olympique
19 Sept
Granville
1 : 0 Saint-Malo
13 Sept
Saint-Malo
1 : 0 St. Colomban Locmine
04 Sept
Saint-Malo
0 : 0 Stade Briochin
28 Aug
Le Poire Sur Vie
0 : 4 Saint-Malo
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Granville
1 : 0 Saint-Malo
28 Aug
Le Poire Sur Vie
0 : 4 Saint-Malo
16 May
Montlouis
2 : 2 Saint-Malo
02 May
Lorient II
3 : 0 Saint-Malo
17 Apr
Chauray
0 : 1 Saint-Malo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche Vendee | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 61:27 | 65 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 51:28 | 62 |
| 3 | Bayonne | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 42:27 | 55 |
| 4 | Saint-Malo | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 43:29 | 50 |
| 5 | Les Herbiers | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 45:33 | 49 |
| 6 | Angouleme CFC | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:36 | 43 |
| 7 | Dinan | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:45 | 41 |
| 8 | Avranches | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46:41 | 40 |
| 9 | Chauray | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 10 | St. Colomban Locmine | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 31:34 | 37 |
| 11 | Montlouis | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 42:50 | 31 |
| 12 | Lorient II | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:51 | 31 |
| 13 | Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 25:47 | 30 |
| 14 | Granville | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32:41 | 29 |
| 15 | Saumur Olympique | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 37:56 | 28 |
| 16 | Stade Poitevin | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 21:43 | 25 |
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)
