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Saurimo vs Progresso Sambizanga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Angola Angola

Girabola 2018/2019
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AI Match Summary

Progresso Sambizanga in this Girabola 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Progresso Sambizanga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Saurimo
15%
Draws
21%
Progresso Sambizanga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saurimo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Progresso Sambizanga average 0.81 goals a game right now, well clear of Saurimo's 0.67.
  • Win probability leans Saurimo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Girabola 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Saurimo Clean Sheet 20%
Progresso Sambizanga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saurimo Progresso Sambizanga
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 0.67 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2019 Girabola
Saurimo vs Progresso Sambizanga
1:3
Oct 28, 2018 Girabola
Progresso Sambizanga vs Saurimo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saurimo 85 / 100
Progresso Sambizanga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saurimo Progresso Sambizanga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saurimo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresso Sambizanga has conceded goals in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Progresso Sambizanga lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Saurimo's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Progresso Sambizanga
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Saurimo

(Home)
19 May
Academica
2 : 0
Saurimo
11 May
Saurimo
3 : 2
Santa Rita
05 May
Interclube
1 : 0
Saurimo
01 May
Saurimo
0 : 2
Petro Atletico
27 Apr
ASA
1 : 0
Saurimo
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Progresso Sambizanga

(Away)
28 May
Kabuscorp
4 : 0
Progresso Sambizanga
23 May
Progresso Sambizanga
1 : 1
CD Lunda Sul
08 May
Primeiro de Agosto
5 : 0
Progresso Sambizanga
23 Apr
Progresso Sambizanga
0 : 1
Caala
17 Apr
Cuando Cubango FC
2 : 1
Progresso Sambizanga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Primeiro de Agosto 30 20 10 0 51:9 70
2 Petro Atletico 30 19 7 4 40:15 64
3 Desportivo Huila 30 15 8 7 36:25 53
4 Kabuscorp 30 13 10 7 35:26 49
5 Interclube 30 10 12 8 26:22 42
6 Sagrada 30 10 11 9 31:26 41
7 Progresso Sambizanga 30 9 13 8 33:29 40
8 C.R.D. Libolo 30 10 9 11 31:30 39
9 Caala 30 8 13 9 29:33 37
10 Bravos do Maquis 30 7 16 7 28:27 37
11 Santa Rita 30 8 8 14 32:41 32
12 Academica 30 7 10 13 23:29 31
13 Sporting de Cabinda 30 6 12 12 30:43 30
14 Cuando Cubango FC 30 6 8 16 30:51 26
15 ASA 30 5 11 14 25:47 26
16 Saurimo 30 5 6 19 20:47 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2019/2020 (Qualification)