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Savedalen vs Kumla

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Fahlstrom L.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025 game between Savedalen and Kumla finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Savedalen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Savedalen
33%
Draws
40%
Kumla
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Kumla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Kumla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Kumla are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Savedalen Clean Sheet 16%
Kumla Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Savedalen Kumla
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Savedalen
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Savedalen vs Kumla
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Savedalen Compare

Top Goalscorer Fahlstrom L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Kumla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Savedalen 28 / 100
Kumla 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Savedalen Kumla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KUM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Savedalen's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Kumla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Savedalen has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Savedalen VS Kumla
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Kumla2
Savedalen1