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Savedalen vs Kumla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Fahlstrom L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Savedalen advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Savedalen
20%
Draws
50%
Kumla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kumla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Kumla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Kumla are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Kumla arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Savedalen, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Savedalen Clean Sheet 10%
Kumla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Savedalen Kumla
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.24 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Savedalen
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Savedalen vs Kumla
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Savedalen Compare

Top Goalscorer Fahlstrom L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Kumla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Savedalen 26 / 100
Kumla 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Savedalen Kumla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kumla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Savedalen's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Kumla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Savedalen stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Savedalen VS Kumla
2 Goals Scored 0.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Savedalen

(Home)
02 Jun
Savedalen
2 : 3
Boljan
01 Nov
Kumla
2 : 0
Savedalen
25 Oct
Savedalen
1 : 0
Kumla
02 Nov
Savedalen
1 : 4
Astorps
26 Oct
Astorps
3 : 1
Savedalen
Page 1 of 6

Kumla

(Away)
08 Oct
Vanersborgs FK
3 : 3
Kumla
03 Oct
Skara
3 : 1
Kumla
26 Sept
Kumla
1 : 0
Lidkoping
18 Sept
Herrestads AIF
2 : 1
Kumla
11 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
Motala
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Kumla 2
Savedalen 1